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Jamal Murray vs James Harden: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Jamal Murray in both formats: 42.9 fantasy points a game to 42.4 in points leagues, and 9th against 23rd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Jamal Murray
PGDENage 29
Points leagues
#16
42.9 FP/G, slot 2.04, $30
9-cat leagues
#9
+3.9 z, slot 1.09, $37

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

James Harden
PGCLEage 37
Points leagues
#18
42.4 FP/G, slot 2.06, $29
9-cat leagues
#23
+2.5 z, slot 2.11, $29

The call

Points leagues: draft Jamal Murray. 42.9 fantasy points per game against 42.4, 16th on our board to 18th.

9-cat leagues: Jamal Murray again, +3.9 in summed z-scores against +2.5 (9th to 23rd).

Category by category, Jamal Murray is ahead in 4 (PTS, 3PM, FG% and TO) and James Harden in 4 (REB, AST, STL and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, James Harden produces more: 43.8 fantasy points to 43.7, on 34.8 minutes a night against 35.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jamal Murray plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), James Harden 2. For that week alone, start Jamal Murray: 85.8 projected fantasy points to 84.8 for James Harden.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameJamal MurrayJames Harden
Fantasy points per game42.942.4
Minutes35.434.8
PointsPTS25.423.6
ReboundsREB4.44.8
AssistsAST7.18.0
StealsSTL0.91.1
BlocksBLK0.40.4
Threes3PM3.33.1
Field goal %FG%48.3%43.4%
Free throw %FT%88.7%88.4%
TurnoversTO2.33.5
Games, 2025-267570

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jamal MurrayJames Harden
Fantasy points43.743.8
Points25.924.4
Rebounds4.55.0
Assists7.38.2
Steals0.91.2
Blocks0.40.4
Threes3.33.2
Turnovers2.33.6

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJamal MurrayJames Harden
PointsPTS+1.5+1.2
ReboundsREB-0.7-0.5
AssistsAST+1.7+2.1
StealsSTL-0.4+0.3
BlocksBLK-0.6-0.6
Threes3PM+1.6+1.4
Field goal percentageFG%-0.1-1.4
Free throw percentageFT%+1.4+1.9
TurnoversTO-0.5-2.1
Total+3.9+2.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to James Harden.

PuntJamal MurrayJames Harden
PTS+2.4 (#11)+1.2 (#32)
REB+4.8 (#9)+3.1 (#17)
AST+2.1 (#23)+0.3 (#53)
STL+4.3 (#6)+2.2 (#22)
BLK+4.8 (#8)+3.2 (#16)
3PM+2.1 (#23)+0.9 (#40)
FG%+4.6 (#11)+4.3 (#12)
FT%+2.4 (#21)+0.4 (#52)
TO+4.6 (#16)+4.7 (#14)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jamal Murray: 2 games (Thu @OKC, Sat NOP).
  • James Harden: 2 games (Thu @PHI, Sat BKN).

Jamal Murray or James Harden: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Jamal Murray: 44.9 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 42.9 on the board.
  • James Harden: 37.9 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 42.4 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Jamal Murray or James Harden in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Jamal Murray. 42.9 fantasy points per game against 42.4, 16th on our board to 18th. 9-cat leagues: Jamal Murray again, +3.9 in summed z-scores against +2.5 (9th to 23rd).

  • Who wins more categories, Jamal Murray or James Harden?

    Category by category, Jamal Murray is ahead in 4 (PTS, 3PM, FG% and TO) and James Harden in 4 (REB, AST, STL and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jamal Murray or James Harden?

    Jamal Murray plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), James Harden 2. For that week alone, start Jamal Murray: 85.8 projected fantasy points to 84.8 for James Harden.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number