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Jamal Murray vs Kevin Durant: who to start in Week 1

Jamal Murray plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kevin Durant 3. For that week alone, start Kevin Durant: 124.0 projected fantasy points to 82.9 for Jamal Murray. Over the season, Jamal Murray leads in points leagues (41.4 fantasy points a game to 41.3) and Kevin Durant in 9-cat leagues (13th against 18th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET.

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Jamal Murray
PGDENage 29
Points leagues
#19
41.4 FP/G, slot 2.07, $29
9-cat leagues
#18
+3.0 z, slot 2.06, $33

The pick in points leagues.

Kevin Durant
SFPFHOUage 38
Points leagues
#20
41.3 FP/G, slot 2.08, $28
9-cat leagues
#13
+3.5 z, slot 2.01, $36

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Jamal Murray. 41.4 fantasy points per game against 41.3, 19th on our board to 20th.

9-cat leagues: Kevin Durant instead, +3.5 in summed z-scores against +3.0 (13th to 18th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Jamal Murray is ahead in 4 (AST, STL, 3PM and TO) and Kevin Durant in 5 (PTS, REB, BLK, FG% and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Jamal Murray produces more: 42.1 fantasy points to 40.8, on 35.5 minutes a night against 36.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jamal Murray plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kevin Durant 3. For that week alone, start Kevin Durant: 124.0 projected fantasy points to 82.9 for Jamal Murray.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJamal MurrayKevin Durant
Fantasy points per game41.441.3
Minutes35.536.5
PointsPTS24.225.9
ReboundsREB4.85.6
AssistsAST6.94.7
StealsSTL0.90.8
BlocksBLK0.40.9
Threes3PM3.12.3
Field goal %FG%47.1%52.5%
Free throw %FT%86.8%86.8%
TurnoversTO2.53.2
Games, 2025-267578

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jamal MurrayKevin Durant
Fantasy points42.140.8
Points24.625.5
Rebounds4.85.5
Assists7.04.7
Steals0.90.8
Blocks0.40.9
Threes3.12.3
Turnovers2.63.2

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJamal MurrayKevin Durant
PointsPTS+1.4+1.7
ReboundsREB-0.5-0.1
AssistsAST+1.7+0.6
StealsSTL-0.4-0.7
BlocksBLK-0.7+0.4
Threes3PM+1.5+0.7
Field goal percentageFG%-0.4+1.1
Free throw percentageFT%+1.2+1.5
TurnoversTO-0.8-1.6
Total+3.0+3.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Jamal Murray.

PuntJamal MurrayKevin Durant
PTS+1.5 (#27)+1.7 (#22)
REB+3.5 (#12)+3.7 (#11)
AST+1.2 (#32)+2.8 (#15)
STL+3.2 (#12)+4.1 (#7)
BLK+3.7 (#13)+3.2 (#18)
3PM+1.3 (#34)+2.5 (#20)
FG%+3.7 (#16)+2.6 (#25)
FT%+1.6 (#31)+1.9 (#24)
TO+3.8 (#16)+5.2 (#12)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jamal Murray: 2 games (Thu @OKC, Sat NOP).
  • Kevin Durant: 3 games (Wed DAL, Fri @SAS, Sat @ATL), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Jamal Murray: 19.5 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 41.4 on the board.
  • Kevin Durant: 39.0 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 41.3 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jamal Murray playing tonight? · Is Kevin Durant playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Jamal Murray, Kevin Durant

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jamal Murray or Kevin Durant?

    Points leagues: Jamal Murray. 41.4 fantasy points per game against 41.3, 19th on our board to 20th. 9-cat leagues: Kevin Durant instead, +3.5 in summed z-scores against +3.0 (13th to 18th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Jamal Murray or Kevin Durant?

    Category by category, Jamal Murray is ahead in 4 (AST, STL, 3PM and TO) and Kevin Durant in 5 (PTS, REB, BLK, FG% and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jamal Murray or Kevin Durant?

    Jamal Murray plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kevin Durant 3. For that week alone, start Kevin Durant: 124.0 projected fantasy points to 82.9 for Jamal Murray.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number