Jamal Murray vs Trey Murphy III: who to start in Week 1
Jamal Murray plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Trey Murphy III 3. For that week alone, start Trey Murphy III: 107.0 projected fantasy points to 82.9 for Jamal Murray. Over the season, Jamal Murray leads in both formats: 41.4 fantasy points a game to 35.7, and 18th against 19th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #19
- 41.4 FP/G, slot 2.07, $29
- 9-cat leagues
- #18
- +3.0 z, slot 2.06, $33
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #44
- 35.7 FP/G, slot 4.08, $20
- 9-cat leagues
- #19
- +2.9 z, slot 2.07, $32
The call
Points leagues: Jamal Murray. 41.4 fantasy points per game against 35.7, 19th on our board to 44th.
9-cat leagues: Jamal Murray again, +3.0 in summed z-scores against +2.9 (18th to 19th).
Category by category, Jamal Murray is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, BLK, FG% and FT%) and Trey Murphy III in 3 (REB, STL and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Jamal Murray produces more: 42.1 fantasy points to 36.7, on 35.5 minutes a night against 35.0. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Jamal Murray plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Trey Murphy III 3. For that week alone, start Trey Murphy III: 107.0 projected fantasy points to 82.9 for Jamal Murray.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jamal Murray | Trey Murphy III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 41.4 | 35.7 |
| Minutes | 35.5 | 35.0 |
| PointsPTS | 24.2 | 20.2 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.8 | 5.6 |
| AssistsAST | 6.9 | 3.6 |
| StealsSTL | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 3.1 | 3.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 47.1% | 46.5% |
| Free throw %FT% | 86.8% | 88.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 75 | 66 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jamal Murray | Trey Murphy III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 42.1 | 36.7 |
| Points | 24.6 | 20.7 |
| Rebounds | 4.8 | 5.8 |
| Assists | 7.0 | 3.7 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Threes | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.6 | 1.8 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jamal Murray | Trey Murphy III |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +1.4 | +0.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| AssistsAST | +1.7 | -0.0 |
| StealsSTL | -0.4 | +1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.7 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | +1.5 | +1.5 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.4 | -0.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +1.2 | +1.0 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.8 | +0.2 |
| Total | +3.0 | +2.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, assists, threes, field goal percentage and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Trey Murphy III.
| Punt | Jamal Murray | Trey Murphy III |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +1.5 (#27) | +2.1 (#16) |
| REB | +3.5 (#12) | +3.1 (#17) |
| AST | +1.2 (#32) | +2.8 (#14) |
| STL | +3.2 (#12) | +1.8 (#26) |
| BLK | +3.7 (#13) | +3.7 (#14) |
| 3PM | +1.3 (#34) | +1.3 (#33) |
| FG% | +3.7 (#16) | +3.8 (#14) |
| FT% | +1.6 (#31) | +1.8 (#27) |
| TO | +3.8 (#16) | +2.7 (#28) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Jamal Murray: 2 games (Thu @OKC, Sat NOP).
- Trey Murphy III: 3 games (Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Jamal Murray: 19.5 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 41.4 on the board.
- Trey Murphy III: 19.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 35.7 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jamal Murray playing tonight? · Is Trey Murphy III playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Jamal Murray
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jamal Murray or Trey Murphy III?
Points leagues: Jamal Murray. 41.4 fantasy points per game against 35.7, 19th on our board to 44th. 9-cat leagues: Jamal Murray again, +3.0 in summed z-scores against +2.9 (18th to 19th).
Who wins more categories, Jamal Murray or Trey Murphy III?
Category by category, Jamal Murray is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, BLK, FG% and FT%) and Trey Murphy III in 3 (REB, STL and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Jamal Murray or Trey Murphy III?
Jamal Murray plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Trey Murphy III 3. For that week alone, start Trey Murphy III: 107.0 projected fantasy points to 82.9 for Jamal Murray.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number