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James Harden vs Josh Giddey: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft James Harden in both formats: 42.4 fantasy points a game to 41.6 in points leagues, and 23rd against 60th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

James Harden
PGCLEage 37
Points leagues
#18
42.4 FP/G, slot 2.06, $29
9-cat leagues
#23
+2.5 z, slot 2.11, $29

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Josh Giddey
PGCHIage 24
Points leagues
#21
41.6 FP/G, slot 2.09, $28
9-cat leagues
#60
+0.2 z, slot 5.12, $16

The call

Points leagues: draft James Harden. 42.4 fantasy points per game against 41.6, 18th on our board to 21st.

9-cat leagues: James Harden again, +2.5 in summed z-scores against +0.2 (23rd to 60th).

Category by category, James Harden is ahead in 5 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Josh Giddey in 4 (REB, AST, BLK and FG%).

Per 36 minutes, Josh Giddey produces more: 46.7 fantasy points to 43.8, on 32.1 minutes a night against 34.8. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

James Harden plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Josh Giddey 3. For that week alone, start Josh Giddey: 124.9 projected fantasy points to 84.8 for James Harden.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameJames HardenJosh Giddey
Fantasy points per game42.441.6
Minutes34.832.1
PointsPTS23.617.0
ReboundsREB4.88.3
AssistsAST8.09.1
StealsSTL1.11.0
BlocksBLK0.40.5
Threes3PM3.11.9
Field goal %FG%43.4%44.8%
Free throw %FT%88.4%76.3%
TurnoversTO3.53.6
Games, 2025-267054

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36James HardenJosh Giddey
Fantasy points43.846.7
Points24.419.1
Rebounds5.09.3
Assists8.210.3
Steals1.21.1
Blocks0.40.6
Threes3.22.1
Turnovers3.64.1

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJames HardenJosh Giddey
PointsPTS+1.2+0.1
ReboundsREB-0.5+1.1
AssistsAST+2.1+2.7
StealsSTL+0.3-0.0
BlocksBLK-0.6-0.4
Threes3PM+1.4+0.3
Field goal percentageFG%-1.4-0.8
Free throw percentageFT%+1.9-0.4
TurnoversTO-2.1-2.2
Total+2.5+0.2

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Josh Giddey.

PuntJames HardenJosh Giddey
PTS+1.2 (#32)+0.0 (#62)
REB+3.1 (#17)-1.1 (#92)
AST+0.3 (#53)-2.6 (#180)
STL+2.2 (#22)+0.1 (#60)
BLK+3.2 (#16)+0.4 (#51)
3PM+0.9 (#40)-0.1 (#66)
FG%+4.3 (#12)+0.7 (#48)
FT%+0.4 (#52)+0.6 (#48)
TO+4.7 (#14)+2.4 (#30)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • James Harden: 2 games (Thu @PHI, Sat BKN).
  • Josh Giddey: 3 games (Wed @TOR, Fri @MIL, Sat WAS), 1 back-to-back.

James Harden or Josh Giddey: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • James Harden: 37.9 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 42.4 on the board.
  • Josh Giddey: 41.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 41.6 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft James Harden or Josh Giddey in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft James Harden. 42.4 fantasy points per game against 41.6, 18th on our board to 21st. 9-cat leagues: James Harden again, +2.5 in summed z-scores against +0.2 (23rd to 60th).

  • Who wins more categories, James Harden or Josh Giddey?

    Category by category, James Harden is ahead in 5 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Josh Giddey in 4 (REB, AST, BLK and FG%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, James Harden or Josh Giddey?

    James Harden plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Josh Giddey 3. For that week alone, start Josh Giddey: 124.9 projected fantasy points to 84.8 for James Harden.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number