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Jarrett Allen vs Julius Randle: who to start in Week 1

Jarrett Allen plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Julius Randle 3. For that week alone, start Julius Randle: 116.5 projected fantasy points to 64.1 for Jarrett Allen. Over the season, Julius Randle leads in points leagues (38.8 fantasy points a game to 32.1) and Jarrett Allen in 9-cat leagues (53rd against 54th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET.

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Jarrett Allen
CCLEage 28
Points leagues
#66
32.1 FP/G, slot 6.06, $15
9-cat leagues
#53
+0.2 z, slot 5.05, $16

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Julius Randle
PFCBKNage 31
Points leagues
#35
38.8 FP/G, slot 3.11, $25
9-cat leagues
#54
+0.1 z, slot 5.06, $16

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Julius Randle. 38.8 fantasy points per game against 32.1, 35th on our board to 66th.

9-cat leagues: Jarrett Allen instead, +0.2 in summed z-scores against +0.1 (53rd to 54th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Jarrett Allen is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Julius Randle in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Jarrett Allen produces more: 42.5 fantasy points to 41.9, on 27.2 minutes a night against 33.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jarrett Allen plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Julius Randle 3. For that week alone, start Julius Randle: 116.5 projected fantasy points to 64.1 for Jarrett Allen.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJarrett AllenJulius Randle
Fantasy points per game32.138.8
Minutes27.233.3
PointsPTS15.321.8
ReboundsREB8.46.8
AssistsAST1.75.2
StealsSTL0.91.0
BlocksBLK0.90.3
Threes3PM0.01.5
Field goal %FG%63.6%49.0%
Free throw %FT%69.8%79.5%
TurnoversTO1.32.8
Games, 2025-265679

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jarrett AllenJulius Randle
Fantasy points42.541.9
Points20.223.6
Rebounds11.17.4
Assists2.25.6
Steals1.21.1
Blocks1.20.3
Threes0.01.6
Turnovers1.73.0

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJarrett AllenJulius Randle
PointsPTS-0.2+1.0
ReboundsREB+1.2+0.5
AssistsAST-1.0+0.8
StealsSTL-0.3-0.0
BlocksBLK+0.5-0.9
Threes3PM-1.7-0.1
Field goal percentageFG%+2.3+0.1
Free throw percentageFT%-1.4-0.0
TurnoversTO+0.7-1.2
Total+0.2+0.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Julius Randle.

PuntJarrett AllenJulius Randle
PTS+0.3 (#49)-0.9 (#102)
REB-1.4 (#115)-0.5 (#77)
AST+1.0 (#36)-0.8 (#88)
STL+0.4 (#50)+0.1 (#60)
BLK-0.6 (#78)+0.8 (#41)
3PM+1.8 (#26)+0.2 (#55)
FG%-3.1 (#160)-0.4 (#72)
FT%+1.6 (#30)+0.1 (#58)
TO-0.6 (#69)+1.3 (#42)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jarrett Allen: 2 games (Thu @PHI, Sat BKN).
  • Julius Randle: 3 games (Wed CHA, Sat @CLE, Sun IND), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Jarrett Allen: 27.4 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 32.1 on the board.
  • Julius Randle: 52.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 38.8 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jarrett Allen playing tonight? · Is Julius Randle playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Jarrett Allen, Julius Randle

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jarrett Allen or Julius Randle?

    Points leagues: Julius Randle. 38.8 fantasy points per game against 32.1, 35th on our board to 66th. 9-cat leagues: Jarrett Allen instead, +0.2 in summed z-scores against +0.1 (53rd to 54th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Jarrett Allen or Julius Randle?

    Category by category, Jarrett Allen is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Julius Randle in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jarrett Allen or Julius Randle?

    Jarrett Allen plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Julius Randle 3. For that week alone, start Julius Randle: 116.5 projected fantasy points to 64.1 for Jarrett Allen.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number