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Javon Small vs Sam Merrill: who to start in Week 1

Javon Small plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Sam Merrill 2. For that week alone, start Javon Small: 62.1 projected fantasy points to 41.4 for Sam Merrill. Over the season, Javon Small leads in points leagues (20.7 fantasy points a game to 20.7) and Sam Merrill in 9-cat leagues (146th against 186th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 23, 3:53 PM ET.

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Javon Small
PGSGMEMage 23
Points leagues
#196
20.7 FP/G, slot 17.04
9-cat leagues
#186
-3.4 z, slot 16.06

The pick in points leagues.

Sam Merrill
SGSFCLEage 30
Points leagues
#197
20.7 FP/G, slot 17.05
9-cat leagues
#146
-2.4 z, slot 13.02, $2

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Javon Small. 20.7 fantasy points per game against 20.7, 196th on our board to 197th.

9-cat leagues: Sam Merrill instead, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -3.4 (146th to 186th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Javon Small is ahead in 5 (REB, AST, STL, BLK and FG%) and Sam Merrill in 3 (PTS, 3PM and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Javon Small produces more: 36.8 fantasy points to 28.3, on 20.2 minutes a night against 26.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Javon Small plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Sam Merrill 2. For that week alone, start Javon Small: 62.1 projected fantasy points to 41.4 for Sam Merrill.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJavon SmallSam Merrill
Fantasy points per game20.720.7
Minutes20.226.3
PointsPTS9.712.3
ReboundsREB3.12.7
AssistsAST3.72.4
StealsSTL0.80.7
BlocksBLK0.20.1
Threes3PM1.52.9
Field goal %FG%46.5%45.9%
Free throw %FT%82.9%85.5%
TurnoversTO1.40.8
Games, 2025-264152

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Javon SmallSam Merrill
Fantasy points36.828.3
Points17.216.8
Rebounds5.63.7
Assists6.53.3
Steals1.50.9
Blocks0.40.2
Threes2.64.0
Turnovers2.41.0

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJavon SmallSam Merrill
PointsPTS-1.2-0.7
ReboundsREB-1.2-1.4
AssistsAST+0.0-0.6
StealsSTL-0.5-1.0
BlocksBLK-1.0-1.1
Threes3PM-0.2+1.3
Field goal percentageFG%-0.2-0.4
Free throw percentageFT%+0.2+0.2
TurnoversTO+0.6+1.4
Total-3.4-2.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting threes flips the 9-cat answer to Javon Small.

PuntJavon SmallSam Merrill
PTS-2.3 (#180)-1.7 (#150)
REB-2.4 (#152)-1.0 (#87)
AST-3.5 (#220)-1.8 (#142)
STL-3.0 (#186)-1.5 (#116)
BLK-2.6 (#158)-1.3 (#101)
3PM-3.3 (#198)-3.8 (#218)
FG%-3.4 (#173)-1.9 (#118)
FT%-3.7 (#206)-2.7 (#162)
TO-4.2 (#183)-3.9 (#171)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Javon Small: 3 games (Wed UTA, Fri @GSW, Sun @SAC).
  • Sam Merrill: 2 games (Thu @PHI, Sat BKN).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Javon Small: 24.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 20.7 on the board.
  • Sam Merrill: 17.0 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 20.7 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Javon Small playing tonight? · Is Sam Merrill playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Javon Small

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Javon Small or Sam Merrill?

    Points leagues: Javon Small. 20.7 fantasy points per game against 20.7, 196th on our board to 197th. 9-cat leagues: Sam Merrill instead, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -3.4 (146th to 186th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Javon Small or Sam Merrill?

    Category by category, Javon Small is ahead in 5 (REB, AST, STL, BLK and FG%) and Sam Merrill in 3 (PTS, 3PM and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Javon Small or Sam Merrill?

    Javon Small plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Sam Merrill 2. For that week alone, start Javon Small: 62.1 projected fantasy points to 41.4 for Sam Merrill.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 23, 2026 at 3:53 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number