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Jay Huff vs Keldon Johnson: who to start in Week 1

Jay Huff plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Keldon Johnson 3. For that week alone, start Keldon Johnson: 68.2 projected fantasy points to 68.0 for Jay Huff. Over the season, Keldon Johnson leads in points leagues (22.7 fantasy points a game to 22.7) and Jay Huff in 9-cat leagues (92nd against 169th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 9:54 AM ET.

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Jay Huff
CINDage 29
Points leagues
#164
22.7 FP/G, slot 14.08
9-cat leagues
#92
-1.1 z, slot 8.08, $9

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Keldon Johnson
PFSFSASage 27
Points leagues
#163
22.7 FP/G, slot 14.07
9-cat leagues
#169
-2.9 z, slot 15.01

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Keldon Johnson. 22.7 fantasy points per game against 22.7, 163rd on our board to 164th.

9-cat leagues: Jay Huff instead, -1.1 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (92nd to 169th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Jay Huff is ahead in 4 (AST, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Keldon Johnson in 4 (PTS, REB, STL and FG%).

Per 36 minutes, Jay Huff produces more: 38.9 fantasy points to 35.4, on 21.0 minutes a night against 23.1. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jay Huff plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Keldon Johnson 3. For that week alone, start Keldon Johnson: 68.2 projected fantasy points to 68.0 for Jay Huff.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJay HuffKeldon Johnson
Fantasy points per game22.722.7
Minutes21.023.1
PointsPTS9.513.0
ReboundsREB4.05.3
AssistsAST1.51.3
StealsSTL0.50.7
BlocksBLK1.90.1
Threes3PM1.51.2
Field goal %FG%47.6%51.8%
Free throw %FT%82.8%79.9%
TurnoversTO0.90.9
Games, 2025-268282

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jay HuffKeldon Johnson
Fantasy points38.935.4
Points16.420.2
Rebounds6.88.2
Assists2.52.1
Steals0.91.0
Blocks3.20.2
Threes2.51.9
Turnovers1.61.4

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJay HuffKeldon Johnson
PointsPTS-1.2-0.6
ReboundsREB-0.8-0.2
AssistsAST-1.1-1.2
StealsSTL-1.4-1.0
BlocksBLK+2.5-1.1
Threes3PM-0.2-0.4
Field goal percentageFG%-0.1+0.5
Free throw percentageFT%+0.1+0.0
TurnoversTO+1.2+1.2
Total-1.1-2.9

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting blocks flips the 9-cat answer to Keldon Johnson.

PuntJay HuffKeldon Johnson
PTS-0.0 (#58)-2.4 (#186)
REB-0.4 (#68)-2.8 (#181)
AST-0.1 (#57)-1.8 (#141)
STL+0.2 (#60)-2.0 (#142)
BLK-3.8 (#221)-2.0 (#129)
3PM-1.0 (#93)-2.6 (#162)
FG%-1.1 (#89)-3.7 (#194)
FT%-1.3 (#105)-3.0 (#174)
TO-2.5 (#124)-4.3 (#187)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jay Huff: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).
  • Keldon Johnson: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Jay Huff: 25.8 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.7 on the board.
  • Keldon Johnson: 20.3 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 22.7 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jay Huff playing tonight? · Is Keldon Johnson playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jay Huff or Keldon Johnson?

    Points leagues: Keldon Johnson. 22.7 fantasy points per game against 22.7, 163rd on our board to 164th. 9-cat leagues: Jay Huff instead, -1.1 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (92nd to 169th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Jay Huff or Keldon Johnson?

    Category by category, Jay Huff is ahead in 4 (AST, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Keldon Johnson in 4 (PTS, REB, STL and FG%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jay Huff or Keldon Johnson?

    Jay Huff plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Keldon Johnson 3. For that week alone, start Keldon Johnson: 68.2 projected fantasy points to 68.0 for Jay Huff.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 9:54 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number