Jaylen Wells vs Keon Ellis: who to start in Week 2
Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Keon Ellis 3. For that week alone, start Jaylen Wells: 66.3 projected fantasy points to 48.7 for Keon Ellis. Over the season, Jaylen Wells leads in both formats: 22.1 fantasy points a game to 16.2, and 180th against 181st in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 26, 8:30 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #165
- 22.1 FP/G, slot 14.09
- 9-cat leagues
- #180
- -3.1 z, slot 15.12
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #261
- 16.2 FP/G, slot 22.09
- 9-cat leagues
- #181
- -3.2 z, slot 16.01
The call
Points leagues: Jaylen Wells. 22.1 fantasy points per game against 16.2, 165th on our board to 261st.
9-cat leagues: Jaylen Wells again, -3.1 in summed z-scores against -3.2 (180th to 181st).
Category by category, Jaylen Wells is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and 3PM) and Keon Ellis in 5 (STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Jaylen Wells produces more: 29.8 fantasy points to 27.2, on 26.7 minutes a night against 21.5. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Keon Ellis 3. For that week alone, start Jaylen Wells: 66.3 projected fantasy points to 48.7 for Keon Ellis.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jaylen Wells | Keon Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 22.1 | 16.2 |
| Minutes | 26.7 | 21.5 |
| PointsPTS | 12.9 | 6.8 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| AssistsAST | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| StealsSTL | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| Threes3PM | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 45.8% | 45.1% |
| Free throw %FT% | 74.5% | 72.9% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 69 | 72 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jaylen Wells | Keon Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 29.8 | 27.2 |
| Points | 17.4 | 11.4 |
| Rebounds | 4.6 | 3.1 |
| Assists | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| Blocks | 0.1 | 1.1 |
| Threes | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| Turnovers | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jaylen Wells | Keon Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -1.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.0 | -1.7 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | -1.2 |
| StealsSTL | +0.1 | +0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.2 | -0.1 |
| Threes3PM | +0.3 | -0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.4 | -0.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.1 | +1.5 |
| Total | -3.1 | -3.2 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds, assists and threes flips the 9-cat answer to Keon Ellis.
| Punt | Jaylen Wells | Keon Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.6 (#198) | -1.6 (#145) |
| REB | -2.3 (#155) | -1.6 (#120) |
| AST | -2.3 (#169) | -2.1 (#159) |
| STL | -3.4 (#201) | -4.1 (#245) |
| BLK | -2.2 (#143) | -3.3 (#183) |
| 3PM | -3.5 (#212) | -2.8 (#177) |
| FG% | -3.0 (#160) | -3.0 (#161) |
| FT% | -2.8 (#168) | -3.0 (#181) |
| TO | -4.3 (#187) | -4.8 (#206) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Jaylen Wells: 3 games (Mon @UTA, Thu @POR, Sat SAC), 1 back-to-back.
- Keon Ellis: 3 games (Tue @BOS, Fri DET, Sun @IND).
Recent games
- Jaylen Wells: 28.9 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 22.1 on the board.
- Keon Ellis: 21.3 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 16.2 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jaylen Wells playing tonight? · Is Keon Ellis playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jaylen Wells or Keon Ellis?
Points leagues: Jaylen Wells. 22.1 fantasy points per game against 16.2, 165th on our board to 261st. 9-cat leagues: Jaylen Wells again, -3.1 in summed z-scores against -3.2 (180th to 181st).
Who wins more categories, Jaylen Wells or Keon Ellis?
Category by category, Jaylen Wells is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and 3PM) and Keon Ellis in 5 (STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 2, Jaylen Wells or Keon Ellis?
Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Keon Ellis 3. For that week alone, start Jaylen Wells: 66.3 projected fantasy points to 48.7 for Keon Ellis.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 26, 2026 at 8:30 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number