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Jaylen Wells vs Obi Toppin: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Obi Toppin in both formats: 20.8 fantasy points a game to 20.7 in points leagues, and 183rd against 225th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Jaylen Wells
SFSGMEMage 23
Points leagues
#198
20.7 FP/G, slot 17.06
9-cat leagues
#225
-4.3 z, slot 19.09
Obi Toppin
PFSFINDage 28
Points leagues
#197
20.8 FP/G, slot 17.05
9-cat leagues
#183
-3.4 z, slot 16.03

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: draft Obi Toppin. 20.8 fantasy points per game against 20.7, 197th on our board to 198th.

9-cat leagues: Obi Toppin again, -3.4 in summed z-scores against -4.3 (183rd to 225th).

Category by category, Jaylen Wells is ahead in 5 (PTS, STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Obi Toppin in 4 (REB, AST, FG% and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Obi Toppin produces more: 42.4 fantasy points to 28.3, on 17.7 minutes a night against 26.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Obi Toppin 3. For that week alone, start Obi Toppin: 62.5 projected fantasy points to 62.2 for Jaylen Wells.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameJaylen WellsObi Toppin
Fantasy points per game20.720.8
Minutes26.417.7
PointsPTS12.511.6
ReboundsREB3.24.4
AssistsAST1.62.3
StealsSTL0.90.5
BlocksBLK0.10.0
Threes3PM1.91.5
Field goal %FG%43.1%50.3%
Free throw %FT%78.4%91.3%
TurnoversTO1.11.2
Games, 2025-266924

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jaylen WellsObi Toppin
Fantasy points28.342.4
Points17.123.7
Rebounds4.39.0
Assists2.24.7
Steals1.21.0
Blocks0.20.1
Threes2.63.1
Turnovers1.52.4

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJaylen WellsObi Toppin
PointsPTS-0.7-0.9
ReboundsREB-1.2-0.6
AssistsAST-1.0-0.7
StealsSTL-0.4-1.5
BlocksBLK-1.2-1.3
Threes3PM+0.2-0.1
Field goal percentageFG%-0.9+0.2
Free throw percentageFT%-0.1+0.7
TurnoversTO+1.0+0.9
Total-4.3-3.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Jaylen Wells.

PuntJaylen WellsObi Toppin
PTS-3.6 (#258)-2.5 (#189)
REB-3.2 (#205)-2.7 (#175)
AST-3.3 (#212)-2.6 (#183)
STL-4.0 (#231)-1.9 (#136)
BLK-3.3 (#187)-2.1 (#137)
3PM-4.5 (#253)-3.3 (#193)
FG%-3.6 (#182)-3.6 (#183)
FT%-4.2 (#230)-4.1 (#219)
TO-5.4 (#220)-4.4 (#186)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jaylen Wells: 3 games (Wed UTA, Fri @GSW, Sun @SAC).
  • Obi Toppin: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Jaylen Wells: 20.0 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 20.7 on the board.
  • Obi Toppin: 25.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 20.8 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Jaylen Wells or Obi Toppin in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Obi Toppin. 20.8 fantasy points per game against 20.7, 197th on our board to 198th. 9-cat leagues: Obi Toppin again, -3.4 in summed z-scores against -4.3 (183rd to 225th).

  • Who wins more categories, Jaylen Wells or Obi Toppin?

    Category by category, Jaylen Wells is ahead in 5 (PTS, STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Obi Toppin in 4 (REB, AST, FG% and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jaylen Wells or Obi Toppin?

    Jaylen Wells plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Obi Toppin 3. For that week alone, start Obi Toppin: 62.5 projected fantasy points to 62.2 for Jaylen Wells.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number