Jayson Tatum vs Trey Murphy III: who to start in Week 3
Jayson Tatum plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Trey Murphy III 4. For that week alone, start Jayson Tatum: 180.3 projected fantasy points to 138.1 for Trey Murphy III. Over the season, Jayson Tatum leads in both formats: 45.1 fantasy points a game to 34.5, and 24th against 26th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #10
- 45.1 FP/G, slot 1.10, $34
- 9-cat leagues
- #24
- +2.2 z, slot 2.12, $28
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #58
- 34.5 FP/G, slot 5.10, $17
- 9-cat leagues
- #26
- +2.1 z, slot 3.02, $27
The call
Points leagues: Jayson Tatum. 45.1 fantasy points per game against 34.5, 10th on our board to 58th.
9-cat leagues: Jayson Tatum again, +2.2 in summed z-scores against +2.1 (24th to 26th).
Category by category, Jayson Tatum is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and FT%) and Trey Murphy III in 5 (STL, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Jayson Tatum produces more: 48.5 fantasy points to 36.1, on 33.5 minutes a night against 34.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Jayson Tatum plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Trey Murphy III 4. For that week alone, start Jayson Tatum: 180.3 projected fantasy points to 138.1 for Trey Murphy III.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jayson Tatum | Trey Murphy III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 45.1 | 34.5 |
| Minutes | 33.5 | 34.4 |
| PointsPTS | 23.6 | 19.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 8.9 | 5.4 |
| AssistsAST | 6.0 | 3.6 |
| StealsSTL | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Field goal %FG% | 41.8% | 46.7% |
| Free throw %FT% | 83.6% | 86.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 16 | 66 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jayson Tatum | Trey Murphy III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 48.5 | 36.1 |
| Points | 25.4 | 20.3 |
| Rebounds | 9.5 | 5.6 |
| Assists | 6.4 | 3.8 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Threes | 2.8 | 3.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.7 | 1.9 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Jayson Tatum | Trey Murphy III |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +1.3 | +0.5 |
| ReboundsREB | +1.3 | -0.2 |
| AssistsAST | +1.1 | -0.1 |
| StealsSTL | +0.3 | +0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | +0.9 | +1.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.9 | -0.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.7 | +0.7 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.7 | +0.2 |
| Total | +2.2 | +2.1 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds and assists flips the 9-cat answer to Trey Murphy III.
| Punt | Jayson Tatum | Trey Murphy III |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +1.0 (#32) | +1.5 (#22) |
| REB | +0.9 (#33) | +2.3 (#19) |
| AST | +1.0 (#32) | +2.0 (#23) |
| STL | +2.0 (#23) | +1.2 (#35) |
| BLK | +3.0 (#14) | +2.8 (#16) |
| 3PM | +1.2 (#37) | +0.7 (#42) |
| FG% | +4.1 (#9) | +2.5 (#22) |
| FT% | +1.4 (#34) | +1.3 (#37) |
| TO | +3.0 (#22) | +1.8 (#33) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Jayson Tatum: 4 games (Mon @HOU, Wed MIL, Fri @CHA, Sun @MIL), 1 back-to-back.
- Trey Murphy III: 4 games (Mon @MEM, Wed UTA, Fri MIN, Sun @LAC).
Recent games
- Jayson Tatum: 46.4 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 45.1 on the board.
- Trey Murphy III: 27.1 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 34.5 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jayson Tatum playing tonight? · Is Trey Murphy III playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jayson Tatum or Trey Murphy III?
Points leagues: Jayson Tatum. 45.1 fantasy points per game against 34.5, 10th on our board to 58th. 9-cat leagues: Jayson Tatum again, +2.2 in summed z-scores against +2.1 (24th to 26th).
Who wins more categories, Jayson Tatum or Trey Murphy III?
Category by category, Jayson Tatum is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and FT%) and Trey Murphy III in 5 (STL, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, Jayson Tatum or Trey Murphy III?
Jayson Tatum plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Trey Murphy III 4. For that week alone, start Jayson Tatum: 180.3 projected fantasy points to 138.1 for Trey Murphy III.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number