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Josh Giddey vs Tobias Harris: who to start in Week 1

Josh Giddey plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tobias Harris 3. For that week alone, start Josh Giddey: 116.8 projected fantasy points to 78.5 for Tobias Harris. Over the season, Josh Giddey leads in both formats: 38.9 fantasy points a game to 26.2, and 96th against 97th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET.

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Josh Giddey
PGSGCHIage 24
Points leagues
#34
38.9 FP/G, slot 3.10, $25
9-cat leagues
#96
-1.2 z, slot 8.12, $8

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Tobias Harris
PFSASage 34GTD
Points leagues
#125
26.2 FP/G, slot 11.05, $6
9-cat leagues
#97
-1.2 z, slot 9.01, $8

Game-time decision (Calf)

The call

Points leagues: Josh Giddey. 38.9 fantasy points per game against 26.2, 34th on our board to 125th.

9-cat leagues: Josh Giddey again, -1.2 in summed z-scores against -1.2 (96th to 97th).

Category by category, Josh Giddey is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK and 3PM) and Tobias Harris in 4 (STL, FG%, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Josh Giddey produces more: 45.0 fantasy points to 34.0, on 31.2 minutes a night against 27.7. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Josh Giddey plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tobias Harris 3. For that week alone, start Josh Giddey: 116.8 projected fantasy points to 78.5 for Tobias Harris.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJosh GiddeyTobias Harris
Fantasy points per game38.926.2
Minutes31.227.7
PointsPTS15.513.3
ReboundsREB8.05.1
AssistsAST9.02.5
StealsSTL0.90.9
BlocksBLK0.40.4
Threes3PM1.71.3
Field goal %FG%42.7%46.9%
Free throw %FT%74.0%86.6%
TurnoversTO3.61.0
Games, 2025-265463

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Josh GiddeyTobias Harris
Fantasy points45.034.0
Points17.917.2
Rebounds9.26.7
Assists10.33.2
Steals1.01.2
Blocks0.50.5
Threes1.91.7
Turnovers4.11.3

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJosh GiddeyTobias Harris
PointsPTS-0.1-0.5
ReboundsREB+1.0-0.3
AssistsAST+2.7-0.6
StealsSTL-0.3-0.3
BlocksBLK-0.5-0.6
Threes3PM+0.1-0.3
Field goal percentageFG%-1.2-0.3
Free throw percentageFT%-0.7+0.6
TurnoversTO-2.1+1.1
Total-1.2-1.2

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, rebounds, assists, blocks and threes flips the 9-cat answer to Tobias Harris.

PuntJosh GiddeyTobias Harris
PTS-1.1 (#113)-0.7 (#90)
REB-2.5 (#161)-1.0 (#94)
AST-4.0 (#240)-0.7 (#83)
STL-0.9 (#90)-1.0 (#95)
BLK-1.0 (#88)-0.8 (#85)
3PM-1.3 (#109)-0.9 (#96)
FG%-0.4 (#74)-1.0 (#88)
FT%-0.6 (#78)-1.8 (#130)
TO+0.8 (#48)-2.4 (#121)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Josh Giddey: 3 games (Wed @TOR, Fri @MIL, Sat WAS), 1 back-to-back.
  • Tobias Harris: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back, listed GTD.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Josh Giddey: 18.9 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 38.9 on the board.
  • Tobias Harris: 29.0 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 26.2 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Josh Giddey playing tonight? · Is Tobias Harris playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Josh Giddey, Tobias Harris

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Josh Giddey or Tobias Harris?

    Points leagues: Josh Giddey. 38.9 fantasy points per game against 26.2, 34th on our board to 125th. 9-cat leagues: Josh Giddey again, -1.2 in summed z-scores against -1.2 (96th to 97th).

  • Who wins more categories, Josh Giddey or Tobias Harris?

    Category by category, Josh Giddey is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK and 3PM) and Tobias Harris in 4 (STL, FG%, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Josh Giddey or Tobias Harris?

    Josh Giddey plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tobias Harris 3. For that week alone, start Josh Giddey: 116.8 projected fantasy points to 78.5 for Tobias Harris.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number