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Josh Giddey vs Michael Porter Jr.: who to start in Week 1

Josh Giddey plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Michael Porter Jr. 3, an even 116.8 projected fantasy points each. Over the season, Michael Porter Jr. leads in both formats: 38.9 fantasy points a game to 38.9, and 25th against 96th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET.

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Josh Giddey
PGSGCHIage 24
Points leagues
#34
38.9 FP/G, slot 3.10, $25
9-cat leagues
#96
-1.2 z, slot 8.12, $8
Michael Porter Jr.
SFPFBKNage 28
Points leagues
#33
38.9 FP/G, slot 3.09, $25
9-cat leagues
#25
+2.4 z, slot 3.01, $29

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Michael Porter Jr.. 38.9 fantasy points per game against 38.9, 33rd on our board to 34th.

9-cat leagues: Michael Porter Jr. again, +2.4 in summed z-scores against -1.2 (25th to 96th).

Category by category, Josh Giddey is ahead in 3 (REB, AST and BLK) and Michael Porter Jr. in 6 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Josh Giddey produces more: 45.0 fantasy points to 43.0, on 31.2 minutes a night against 32.6. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Josh Giddey plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Michael Porter Jr. 3, an even 116.8 projected fantasy points each.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJosh GiddeyMichael Porter Jr.
Fantasy points per game38.938.9
Minutes31.232.6
PointsPTS15.524.3
ReboundsREB8.07.1
AssistsAST9.02.9
StealsSTL0.91.2
BlocksBLK0.40.2
Threes3PM1.73.5
Field goal %FG%42.7%46.4%
Free throw %FT%74.0%84.8%
TurnoversTO3.62.5
Games, 2025-265452

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Josh GiddeyMichael Porter Jr.
Fantasy points45.043.0
Points17.926.9
Rebounds9.27.8
Assists10.33.2
Steals1.01.3
Blocks0.50.3
Threes1.93.9
Turnovers4.12.7

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJosh GiddeyMichael Porter Jr.
PointsPTS-0.1+1.4
ReboundsREB+1.0+0.6
AssistsAST+2.7-0.3
StealsSTL-0.3+0.4
BlocksBLK-0.5-0.9
Threes3PM+0.1+1.9
Field goal percentageFG%-1.2-0.7
Free throw percentageFT%-0.7+0.7
TurnoversTO-2.1-0.7
Total-1.2+2.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: Michael Porter Jr. stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntJosh GiddeyMichael Porter Jr.
PTS-1.1 (#113)+0.9 (#36)
REB-2.5 (#161)+1.9 (#25)
AST-4.0 (#240)+2.6 (#18)
STL-0.9 (#90)+1.9 (#25)
BLK-1.0 (#88)+3.3 (#16)
3PM-1.3 (#109)+0.3 (#54)
FG%-0.4 (#74)+3.3 (#20)
FT%-0.6 (#78)+1.5 (#33)
TO+0.8 (#48)+3.1 (#23)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Josh Giddey: 3 games (Wed @TOR, Fri @MIL, Sat WAS), 1 back-to-back.
  • Michael Porter Jr.: 3 games (Wed CHA, Sat @CLE, Sun IND), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Josh Giddey: 18.9 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 38.9 on the board.
  • Michael Porter Jr.: 40.9 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 38.9 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Josh Giddey playing tonight? · Is Michael Porter Jr. playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Josh Giddey

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Josh Giddey or Michael Porter Jr.?

    Points leagues: Michael Porter Jr.. 38.9 fantasy points per game against 38.9, 33rd on our board to 34th. 9-cat leagues: Michael Porter Jr. again, +2.4 in summed z-scores against -1.2 (25th to 96th).

  • Who wins more categories, Josh Giddey or Michael Porter Jr.?

    Category by category, Josh Giddey is ahead in 3 (REB, AST and BLK) and Michael Porter Jr. in 6 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Josh Giddey or Michael Porter Jr.?

    Josh Giddey plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Michael Porter Jr. 3, an even 116.8 projected fantasy points each.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number