Kawhi Leonard vs Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in both formats: 50.4 fantasy points a game to 45.7 in points leagues, and 3rd against 4th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #9
- 45.7 FP/G, slot 1.09, $34
- 9-cat leagues
- #4
- +7.2 z, slot 1.04, $54
- Points leagues
- #4
- 50.4 FP/G, slot 1.04, $41
- 9-cat leagues
- #3
- +8.4 z, slot 1.03, $61
Game-time decision (Rest)
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. 50.4 fantasy points per game against 45.7, 4th on our board to 9th.
9-cat leagues: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander again, +8.4 in summed z-scores against +7.2 (3rd to 4th).
Category by category, Kawhi Leonard is ahead in 4 (REB, STL, 3PM and TO) and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in 5 (PTS, AST, BLK, FG% and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander produces more: 54.7 fantasy points to 51.3, on 33.2 minutes a night against 32.1. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Kawhi Leonard plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 3. For that week alone, start Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 151.3 projected fantasy points to 137.2 for Kawhi Leonard.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Kawhi Leonard | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 45.7 | 50.4 |
| Minutes | 32.1 | 33.2 |
| PointsPTS | 27.9 | 31.1 |
| ReboundsREB | 6.4 | 4.3 |
| AssistsAST | 3.6 | 6.6 |
| StealsSTL | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Threes3PM | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| Field goal %FG% | 50.5% | 55.3% |
| Free throw %FT% | 89.2% | 87.9% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 65 | 68 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Kawhi Leonard | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 51.3 | 54.7 |
| Points | 31.3 | 33.7 |
| Rebounds | 7.1 | 4.7 |
| Assists | 4.0 | 7.1 |
| Steals | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Threes | 3.0 | 1.8 |
| Turnovers | 2.3 | 2.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Kawhi Leonard | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +2.0 | +2.5 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.2 | -0.7 |
| AssistsAST | -0.0 | +1.4 |
| StealsSTL | +2.4 | +1.1 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.6 | +0.2 |
| Threes3PM | +1.0 | +0.0 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.5 | +2.1 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +1.8 | +2.2 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.2 | -0.4 |
| Total | +7.2 | +8.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting assists and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Kawhi Leonard.
| Punt | Kawhi Leonard | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +5.1 (#4) | +5.8 (#3) |
| REB | +7.1 (#4) | +9.2 (#1) |
| AST | +7.0 (#3) | +6.7 (#4) |
| STL | +4.7 (#4) | +7.2 (#3) |
| BLK | +7.9 (#3) | +8.4 (#2) |
| 3PM | +5.9 (#4) | +8.0 (#3) |
| FG% | +7.1 (#4) | +6.6 (#5) |
| FT% | +5.2 (#5) | +5.9 (#4) |
| TO | +7.5 (#6) | +8.9 (#4) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Kawhi Leonard: 3 games (Wed CHI, Fri @WAS, Sun @MIN).
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3 games (Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC), listed GTD.
Recent games
- Kawhi Leonard: 41.2 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 45.7 on the board.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 44.9 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 50.4 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Kawhi Leonard or Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. 50.4 fantasy points per game against 45.7, 4th on our board to 9th. 9-cat leagues: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander again, +8.4 in summed z-scores against +7.2 (3rd to 4th).
Who wins more categories, Kawhi Leonard or Shai Gilgeous-Alexander?
Category by category, Kawhi Leonard is ahead in 4 (REB, STL, 3PM and TO) and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in 5 (PTS, AST, BLK, FG% and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Kawhi Leonard or Shai Gilgeous-Alexander?
Kawhi Leonard plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 3. For that week alone, start Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 151.3 projected fantasy points to 137.2 for Kawhi Leonard.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number