Keegan Murray vs Tre Jones: who to start in Week 1
Keegan Murray plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tre Jones 3. For that week alone, start Keegan Murray: 84.2 projected fantasy points to 84.1 for Tre Jones. Over the season, Keegan Murray leads in points leagues (28.1 fantasy points a game to 28.0) and Tre Jones in 9-cat leagues (68th against 103rd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
Parlae may earn a commission from price links.
- Points leagues
- #101
- 28.1 FP/G, slot 9.05, $9
- 9-cat leagues
- #103
- -1.3 z, slot 9.07, $8
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #102
- 28.0 FP/G, slot 9.06, $9
- 9-cat leagues
- #68
- -0.4 z, slot 6.08, $13
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Keegan Murray. 28.1 fantasy points per game against 28.0, 101st on our board to 102nd.
9-cat leagues: Tre Jones instead, -0.4 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (68th to 103rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Keegan Murray is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Tre Jones in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, FG% and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Tre Jones produces more: 38.9 fantasy points to 30.1, on 26.0 minutes a night against 33.6. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Keegan Murray plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tre Jones 3. For that week alone, start Keegan Murray: 84.2 projected fantasy points to 84.1 for Tre Jones.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Advertisement
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Keegan Murray | Tre Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 28.1 | 28.0 |
| Minutes | 33.6 | 26.0 |
| PointsPTS | 13.1 | 13.8 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.4 | 3.1 |
| AssistsAST | 1.5 | 5.2 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| Threes3PM | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Field goal %FG% | 41.0% | 54.7% |
| Free throw %FT% | 80.0% | 84.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 23 | 65 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Keegan Murray | Tre Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 30.1 | 38.9 |
| Points | 14.1 | 19.2 |
| Rebounds | 5.8 | 4.3 |
| Assists | 1.6 | 7.2 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Blocks | 1.5 | 0.2 |
| Threes | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Turnovers | 1.2 | 1.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
Advertisement
9-category z-scores
| Category | Keegan Murray | Tre Jones |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -0.4 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.2 | -1.2 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | +0.8 |
| StealsSTL | +0.0 | +0.3 |
| BlocksBLK | +1.4 | -1.1 |
| Threes3PM | -0.4 | -1.1 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.6 | +0.9 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.0 | +0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.9 | +0.8 |
| Total | -1.3 | -0.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting assists and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Keegan Murray.
| Punt | Keegan Murray | Tre Jones |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.8 (#94) | +0.0 (#59) |
| REB | -1.3 (#109) | +0.8 (#42) |
| AST | -0.3 (#63) | -1.3 (#112) |
| STL | -1.4 (#118) | -0.8 (#88) |
| BLK | -3.0 (#170) | +0.6 (#46) |
| 3PM | -0.9 (#91) | +0.6 (#44) |
| FG% | +0.1 (#58) | -1.6 (#104) |
| FT% | -1.3 (#110) | -1.0 (#96) |
| TO | -2.3 (#119) | -1.2 (#88) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Keegan Murray: 3 games (Wed @LAC, Fri POR, Sun MEM).
- Tre Jones: 3 games (Wed @TOR, Fri @MIL, Sat WAS), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Keegan Murray: 13.8 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 28.1 on the board.
- Tre Jones: 24.6 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 28.0 on the board.
Advertisement
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Keegan Murray playing tonight? · Is Tre Jones playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Tre Jones
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Keegan Murray or Tre Jones?
Points leagues: Keegan Murray. 28.1 fantasy points per game against 28.0, 101st on our board to 102nd. 9-cat leagues: Tre Jones instead, -0.4 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (68th to 103rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Keegan Murray or Tre Jones?
Category by category, Keegan Murray is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Tre Jones in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, FG% and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Keegan Murray or Tre Jones?
Keegan Murray plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tre Jones 3. For that week alone, start Keegan Murray: 84.2 projected fantasy points to 84.1 for Tre Jones.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number