Keldon Johnson vs Moses Moody: who to start in Week 1
Keldon Johnson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Moses Moody 3. For that week alone, start Keldon Johnson: 66.8 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Moses Moody. Over the season, Keldon Johnson leads in points leagues (22.3 fantasy points a game to 22.2) and Moses Moody in 9-cat leagues (134th against 174th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 25, 8:28 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #162
- 22.3 FP/G, slot 14.06
- 9-cat leagues
- #174
- -3.1 z, slot 15.06
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #163
- 22.2 FP/G, slot 14.07
- 9-cat leagues
- #134
- -2.0 z, slot 12.02, $4
Out (Knee)
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Keldon Johnson. 22.3 fantasy points per game against 22.2, 162nd on our board to 163rd.
9-cat leagues: Moses Moody instead, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -3.1 (134th to 174th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Keldon Johnson is ahead in 4 (REB, FG%, FT% and TO) and Moses Moody in 4 (AST, STL, BLK and 3PM).
Per 36 minutes, Keldon Johnson produces more: 34.8 fantasy points to 31.2, on 23.0 minutes a night against 25.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Keldon Johnson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Moses Moody 3. For that week alone, start Keldon Johnson: 66.8 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Moses Moody.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Keldon Johnson | Moses Moody |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 22.3 | 22.2 |
| Minutes | 23.0 | 25.7 |
| PointsPTS | 12.4 | 12.1 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.4 | 3.3 |
| AssistsAST | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| Threes3PM | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| Field goal %FG% | 52.3% | 44.0% |
| Free throw %FT% | 78.4% | 77.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 82 | 60 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Keldon Johnson | Moses Moody |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 34.8 | 31.2 |
| Points | 19.3 | 17.0 |
| Rebounds | 8.4 | 4.7 |
| Assists | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Threes | 1.7 | 3.5 |
| Turnovers | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Keldon Johnson | Moses Moody |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.7 | -0.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.2 | -1.1 |
| AssistsAST | -1.1 | -1.0 |
| StealsSTL | -1.1 | -0.2 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.2 | -0.2 |
| Threes3PM | -0.6 | +0.9 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.6 | -0.7 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.1 | -0.2 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.2 | +1.1 |
| Total | -3.1 | -2.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting threes flips the 9-cat answer to Keldon Johnson.
| Punt | Keldon Johnson | Moses Moody |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.4 (#191) | -1.3 (#126) |
| REB | -3.1 (#195) | -1.1 (#96) |
| AST | -2.0 (#150) | -1.1 (#110) |
| STL | -2.1 (#147) | -2.0 (#143) |
| BLK | -2.1 (#142) | -2.0 (#130) |
| 3PM | -2.5 (#167) | -3.0 (#182) |
| FG% | -4.0 (#207) | -1.4 (#97) |
| FT% | -3.0 (#179) | -1.9 (#136) |
| TO | -4.4 (#189) | -3.2 (#148) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Keldon Johnson: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back.
- Moses Moody: 3 games (Wed @LAL, Fri MEM, Sat @PHX), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
Recent games
- Keldon Johnson: 19.2 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 22.3 on the board.
- Moses Moody: 29.1 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.2 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Keldon Johnson playing tonight? · Is Moses Moody playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Keldon Johnson or Moses Moody?
Points leagues: Keldon Johnson. 22.3 fantasy points per game against 22.2, 162nd on our board to 163rd. 9-cat leagues: Moses Moody instead, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -3.1 (134th to 174th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Keldon Johnson or Moses Moody?
Category by category, Keldon Johnson is ahead in 4 (REB, FG%, FT% and TO) and Moses Moody in 4 (AST, STL, BLK and 3PM).
Who should I start in Week 1, Keldon Johnson or Moses Moody?
Keldon Johnson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Moses Moody 3. For that week alone, start Keldon Johnson: 66.8 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Moses Moody.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 8:28 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number