Keldon Johnson vs Scoot Henderson: who to start in Week 1
Keldon Johnson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Scoot Henderson 2. For that week alone, start Keldon Johnson: 67.5 projected fantasy points to 45.8 for Scoot Henderson. Over the season, Scoot Henderson leads in points leagues (22.9 fantasy points a game to 22.5) and Keldon Johnson in 9-cat leagues (170th against 243rd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #158
- 22.5 FP/G, slot 14.02
- 9-cat leagues
- #170
- -2.9 z, slot 15.02
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #156
- 22.9 FP/G, slot 13.12, $1
- 9-cat leagues
- #243
- -4.7 z, slot 21.03
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Scoot Henderson. 22.9 fantasy points per game against 22.5, 156th on our board to 158th.
9-cat leagues: Keldon Johnson instead, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -4.7 (170th to 243rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Keldon Johnson is ahead in 3 (REB, FG% and TO) and Scoot Henderson in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, BLK, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Keldon Johnson produces more: 35.4 fantasy points to 33.8, on 22.9 minutes a night against 24.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Keldon Johnson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Scoot Henderson 2. For that week alone, start Keldon Johnson: 67.5 projected fantasy points to 45.8 for Scoot Henderson.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Keldon Johnson | Scoot Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 22.5 | 22.9 |
| Minutes | 22.9 | 24.4 |
| PointsPTS | 12.7 | 13.7 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.3 | 2.5 |
| AssistsAST | 1.3 | 3.5 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Field goal %FG% | 52.1% | 41.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 79.9% | 84.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.9 | 2.4 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 82 | 30 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Keldon Johnson | Scoot Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 35.4 | 33.8 |
| Points | 20.0 | 20.2 |
| Rebounds | 8.4 | 3.7 |
| Assists | 2.1 | 5.1 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| Turnovers | 1.5 | 3.5 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Keldon Johnson | Scoot Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -0.5 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.2 | -1.5 |
| AssistsAST | -1.2 | -0.1 |
| StealsSTL | -0.9 | -0.5 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.2 | -0.9 |
| Threes3PM | -0.5 | +0.1 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.5 | -1.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.0 | +0.5 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.2 | -0.6 |
| Total | -2.9 | -4.7 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Scoot Henderson.
| Punt | Keldon Johnson | Scoot Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.3 (#187) | -4.2 (#289) |
| REB | -2.8 (#182) | -3.3 (#214) |
| AST | -1.8 (#142) | -4.7 (#276) |
| STL | -2.0 (#144) | -4.3 (#255) |
| BLK | -1.9 (#127) | -4.0 (#224) |
| 3PM | -2.4 (#163) | -4.8 (#266) |
| FG% | -3.8 (#194) | -3.5 (#176) |
| FT% | -2.9 (#176) | -5.2 (#266) |
| TO | -4.2 (#185) | -4.1 (#182) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Keldon Johnson: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back.
- Scoot Henderson: 2 games (Wed PHX, Fri @SAC).
Recent games
- Keldon Johnson: 19.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 22.5 on the board.
- Scoot Henderson: 13.0 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 22.9 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Keldon Johnson playing tonight? · Is Scoot Henderson playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Scoot Henderson
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Keldon Johnson or Scoot Henderson?
Points leagues: Scoot Henderson. 22.9 fantasy points per game against 22.5, 156th on our board to 158th. 9-cat leagues: Keldon Johnson instead, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -4.7 (170th to 243rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Keldon Johnson or Scoot Henderson?
Category by category, Keldon Johnson is ahead in 3 (REB, FG% and TO) and Scoot Henderson in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, BLK, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Keldon Johnson or Scoot Henderson?
Keldon Johnson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Scoot Henderson 2. For that week alone, start Keldon Johnson: 67.5 projected fantasy points to 45.8 for Scoot Henderson.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number