Kel'el Ware vs Reed Sheppard: who to start in Week 1
Kel'el Ware plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Reed Sheppard 3. For that week alone, start Reed Sheppard: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 81.0 for Kel'el Ware. Over the season, Reed Sheppard leads in both formats: 27.0 fantasy points a game to 27.0, and 61st against 68th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 25, 2:29 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #115
- 27.0 FP/G, slot 10.07, $7
- 9-cat leagues
- #68
- -0.3 z, slot 6.08, $14
- Points leagues
- #113
- 27.0 FP/G, slot 10.05, $7
- 9-cat leagues
- #61
- -0.1 z, slot 6.01, $15
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Reed Sheppard. 27.0 fantasy points per game against 27.0, 113th on our board to 115th.
9-cat leagues: Reed Sheppard again, -0.1 in summed z-scores against -0.3 (61st to 68th).
Category by category, Kel'el Ware is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Reed Sheppard in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Kel'el Ware produces more: 44.9 fantasy points to 37.7, on 21.7 minutes a night against 25.8. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Kel'el Ware plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Reed Sheppard 3. For that week alone, start Reed Sheppard: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 81.0 for Kel'el Ware.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Kel'el Ware | Reed Sheppard |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 27.0 | 27.0 |
| Minutes | 21.7 | 25.8 |
| PointsPTS | 11.3 | 13.2 |
| ReboundsREB | 8.6 | 3.0 |
| AssistsAST | 0.7 | 3.6 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Threes3PM | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| Field goal %FG% | 53.9% | 42.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 69.1% | 80.2% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 77 | 82 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Kel'el Ware | Reed Sheppard |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 44.9 | 37.7 |
| Points | 18.7 | 18.5 |
| Rebounds | 14.3 | 4.2 |
| Assists | 1.2 | 5.1 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Blocks | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Threes | 1.9 | 3.9 |
| Turnovers | 1.7 | 2.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Kel'el Ware | Reed Sheppard |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.9 | -0.5 |
| ReboundsREB | +1.3 | -1.2 |
| AssistsAST | -1.5 | +0.0 |
| StealsSTL | -0.8 | +1.4 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.7 | -0.2 |
| Threes3PM | -0.5 | +1.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.8 | -1.1 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.5 | +0.0 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.1 | +0.2 |
| Total | -0.3 | -0.1 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Kel'el Ware.
| Punt | Kel'el Ware | Reed Sheppard |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +0.6 (#44) | +0.3 (#53) |
| REB | -1.8 (#126) | +1.1 (#38) |
| AST | +1.1 (#36) | -0.3 (#64) |
| STL | +0.4 (#49) | -1.7 (#130) |
| BLK | -1.3 (#101) | -0.0 (#59) |
| 3PM | +0.2 (#55) | -1.5 (#112) |
| FG% | -1.4 (#96) | +1.0 (#40) |
| FT% | +0.3 (#54) | -0.3 (#70) |
| TO | -1.5 (#96) | -0.4 (#70) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Kel'el Ware: 3 games (Wed @WAS, Fri CHI, Sat @PHI), 1 back-to-back.
- Reed Sheppard: 3 games (Wed DAL, Fri @SAS, Sat @ATL), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Kel'el Ware: 23.3 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 27.0 on the board.
- Reed Sheppard: 27.1 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 27.0 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Kel'el Ware playing tonight? · Is Reed Sheppard playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Kel'el Ware, Reed Sheppard
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Kel'el Ware or Reed Sheppard?
Points leagues: Reed Sheppard. 27.0 fantasy points per game against 27.0, 113th on our board to 115th. 9-cat leagues: Reed Sheppard again, -0.1 in summed z-scores against -0.3 (61st to 68th).
Who wins more categories, Kel'el Ware or Reed Sheppard?
Category by category, Kel'el Ware is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Reed Sheppard in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Kel'el Ware or Reed Sheppard?
Kel'el Ware plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Reed Sheppard 3. For that week alone, start Reed Sheppard: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 81.0 for Kel'el Ware.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 2:29 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number