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Luke Kennard vs Sam Hauser: who to start in Week 1

Luke Kennard plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Sam Hauser 2. For that week alone, start Sam Hauser: 35.0 projected fantasy points to 32.3 for Luke Kennard. Over the season, Sam Hauser leads in both formats: 17.5 fantasy points a game to 16.2, and 195th against 198th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET.

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Luke Kennard
SGPGSFPHXage 30GTD
Points leagues
#265
16.2 FP/G, slot 23.01
9-cat leagues
#198
-3.7 z, slot 17.06

Game-time decision (Knee)

Sam Hauser
PFSFBOSage 28
Points leagues
#236
17.5 FP/G, slot 20.08
9-cat leagues
#195
-3.7 z, slot 17.03

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Sam Hauser. 17.5 fantasy points per game against 16.2, 236th on our board to 265th.

9-cat leagues: Sam Hauser again, -3.7 in summed z-scores against -3.7 (195th to 198th).

Category by category, Luke Kennard is ahead in 4 (AST, STL, FG% and FT%) and Sam Hauser in 5 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Luke Kennard produces more: 27.0 fantasy points to 25.9, on 21.6 minutes a night against 24.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Luke Kennard plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Sam Hauser 2. For that week alone, start Sam Hauser: 35.0 projected fantasy points to 32.3 for Luke Kennard.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameLuke KennardSam Hauser
Fantasy points per game16.217.5
Minutes21.624.3
PointsPTS8.49.1
ReboundsREB2.33.7
AssistsAST2.21.5
StealsSTL0.70.4
BlocksBLK0.10.3
Threes3PM1.52.5
Field goal %FG%53.3%42.7%
Free throw %FT%91.3%85.0%
TurnoversTO0.80.4
Games, 2025-267878

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Luke KennardSam Hauser
Fantasy points27.025.9
Points14.013.5
Rebounds3.95.6
Assists3.72.2
Steals1.20.6
Blocks0.20.4
Threes2.53.8
Turnovers1.30.6

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryLuke KennardSam Hauser
PointsPTS-1.4-1.2
ReboundsREB-1.6-0.9
AssistsAST-0.7-1.1
StealsSTL-0.9-1.6
BlocksBLK-1.2-0.9
Threes3PM-0.1+0.9
Field goal percentageFG%+0.4-0.7
Free throw percentageFT%+0.3+0.0
TurnoversTO+1.4+1.8
Total-3.7-3.7

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, rebounds, blocks, threes and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Luke Kennard.

PuntLuke KennardSam Hauser
PTS-2.3 (#191)-2.4 (#194)
REB-2.2 (#143)-2.8 (#181)
AST-3.0 (#198)-2.6 (#181)
STL-2.9 (#184)-2.2 (#151)
BLK-2.6 (#152)-3.0 (#168)
3PM-3.6 (#213)-4.6 (#260)
FG%-4.3 (#218)-2.9 (#154)
FT%-4.0 (#220)-3.7 (#210)
TO-5.2 (#219)-5.6 (#235)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Luke Kennard: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW), listed GTD.
  • Sam Hauser: 2 games (Tue @DET, Fri NYK).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Luke Kennard: 22.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 16.2 on the board.
  • Sam Hauser: 14.4 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 17.5 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Luke Kennard playing tonight? · Is Sam Hauser playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Luke Kennard or Sam Hauser?

    Points leagues: Sam Hauser. 17.5 fantasy points per game against 16.2, 236th on our board to 265th. 9-cat leagues: Sam Hauser again, -3.7 in summed z-scores against -3.7 (195th to 198th).

  • Who wins more categories, Luke Kennard or Sam Hauser?

    Category by category, Luke Kennard is ahead in 4 (AST, STL, FG% and FT%) and Sam Hauser in 5 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Luke Kennard or Sam Hauser?

    Luke Kennard plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Sam Hauser 2. For that week alone, start Sam Hauser: 35.0 projected fantasy points to 32.3 for Luke Kennard.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number