Matas Buzelis vs Tobias Harris: who to start in Week 3
Matas Buzelis plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Tobias Harris 4. For that week alone, start Matas Buzelis: 83.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Tobias Harris. Over the season, Matas Buzelis leads in points leagues (27.9 fantasy points a game to 26.2) and Tobias Harris in 9-cat leagues (99th against 146th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 4:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #115
- 27.9 FP/G, slot 10.07, $7
- 9-cat leagues
- #146
- -2.3 z, slot 13.02, $2
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #135
- 26.2 FP/G, slot 12.03, $5
- 9-cat leagues
- #99
- -1.3 z, slot 9.03, $8
Out (Calf)
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Matas Buzelis. 27.9 fantasy points per game against 26.2, 115th on our board to 135th.
9-cat leagues: Tobias Harris instead, -1.3 in summed z-scores against -2.3 (99th to 146th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Matas Buzelis is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and 3PM) and Tobias Harris in 5 (AST, STL, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Matas Buzelis produces more: 36.0 fantasy points to 34.0, on 27.9 minutes a night against 27.7. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Matas Buzelis plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Tobias Harris 4. For that week alone, start Matas Buzelis: 83.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Tobias Harris.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Matas Buzelis | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 27.9 | 26.2 |
| Minutes | 27.9 | 27.7 |
| PointsPTS | 15.2 | 13.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.3 | 5.1 |
| AssistsAST | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 44.7% | 46.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 79.7% | 86.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 77 | 63 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Matas Buzelis | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 36.0 | 34.0 |
| Points | 19.7 | 17.2 |
| Rebounds | 6.9 | 6.7 |
| Assists | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| Steals | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 1.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Matas Buzelis | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.3 | -0.6 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.2 | -0.3 |
| AssistsAST | -0.9 | -0.7 |
| StealsSTL | -1.2 | -0.4 |
| BlocksBLK | +1.2 | -0.5 |
| Threes3PM | +0.3 | -0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.0 | +0.5 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.5 | +1.2 |
| Total | -2.3 | -1.3 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Matas Buzelis.
| Punt | Matas Buzelis | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.0 (#170) | -0.7 (#93) |
| REB | -2.2 (#148) | -1.1 (#99) |
| AST | -1.4 (#118) | -0.7 (#82) |
| STL | -1.2 (#103) | -1.0 (#95) |
| BLK | -3.6 (#201) | -1.0 (#96) |
| 3PM | -2.5 (#170) | -1.0 (#91) |
| FG% | -1.8 (#118) | -1.2 (#98) |
| FT% | -2.3 (#159) | -1.8 (#132) |
| TO | -1.9 (#110) | -2.6 (#132) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Matas Buzelis: 3 games (Mon @PHI, Wed @NYK, Sun PHI).
- Tobias Harris: 4 games (Mon UTA, Wed DAL, Fri @SAC, Sat @POR), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
Recent games
- Matas Buzelis: 21.4 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 27.9 on the board.
- Tobias Harris: 29.0 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 26.2 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Matas Buzelis playing tonight? · Is Tobias Harris playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Matas Buzelis, Tobias Harris
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Matas Buzelis or Tobias Harris?
Points leagues: Matas Buzelis. 27.9 fantasy points per game against 26.2, 115th on our board to 135th. 9-cat leagues: Tobias Harris instead, -1.3 in summed z-scores against -2.3 (99th to 146th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Matas Buzelis or Tobias Harris?
Category by category, Matas Buzelis is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and 3PM) and Tobias Harris in 5 (AST, STL, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, Matas Buzelis or Tobias Harris?
Matas Buzelis plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Tobias Harris 4. For that week alone, start Matas Buzelis: 83.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Tobias Harris.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 4:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number