Matisse Thybulle vs Pascal Siakam: who to start in Week 1
Matisse Thybulle plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pascal Siakam 3. For that week alone, start Pascal Siakam: 117.8 projected fantasy points to 49.8 for Matisse Thybulle. Over the season, Pascal Siakam leads in both formats: 39.3 fantasy points a game to 16.6, and 122nd against 123rd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #254
- 16.6 FP/G, slot 22.02
- 9-cat leagues
- #123
- -1.9 z, slot 11.03, $5
- Points leagues
- #31
- 39.3 FP/G, slot 3.07, $25
- 9-cat leagues
- #122
- -1.8 z, slot 11.02, $5
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Pascal Siakam. 39.3 fantasy points per game against 16.6, 31st on our board to 254th.
9-cat leagues: Pascal Siakam again, -1.8 in summed z-scores against -1.9 (122nd to 123rd).
Category by category, Matisse Thybulle is ahead in 4 (STL, BLK, FT% and TO) and Pascal Siakam in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, 3PM and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Pascal Siakam produces more: 42.8 fantasy points to 35.4, on 33.0 minutes a night against 16.9. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Matisse Thybulle plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pascal Siakam 3. For that week alone, start Pascal Siakam: 117.8 projected fantasy points to 49.8 for Matisse Thybulle.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Matisse Thybulle | Pascal Siakam |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 16.6 | 39.3 |
| Minutes | 16.9 | 33.0 |
| PointsPTS | 6.1 | 24.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.0 | 6.5 |
| AssistsAST | 1.0 | 3.6 |
| StealsSTL | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Field goal %FG% | 44.3% | 49.5% |
| Free throw %FT% | 84.0% | 66.1% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.9 | 2.4 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 30 | 62 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Matisse Thybulle | Pascal Siakam |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 35.4 | 42.8 |
| Points | 12.9 | 26.4 |
| Rebounds | 4.2 | 7.1 |
| Assists | 2.1 | 3.9 |
| Steals | 4.1 | 1.1 |
| Blocks | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 2.6 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Matisse Thybulle | Pascal Siakam |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.8 | +1.4 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.7 | +0.3 |
| AssistsAST | -1.3 | +0.0 |
| StealsSTL | +2.5 | +0.1 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.2 | -0.7 |
| Threes3PM | -0.3 | +0.1 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.3 | +0.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.1 | -2.6 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.2 | -0.6 |
| Total | -1.9 | -1.8 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds, assists, threes and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Matisse Thybulle.
| Punt | Matisse Thybulle | Pascal Siakam |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.1 (#63) | -3.3 (#236) |
| REB | -0.2 (#66) | -2.7 (#171) |
| AST | -0.6 (#79) | -2.1 (#149) |
| STL | -4.4 (#269) | -2.0 (#141) |
| BLK | -1.8 (#123) | -1.4 (#104) |
| 3PM | -1.6 (#120) | -2.0 (#137) |
| FG% | -1.6 (#107) | -3.3 (#165) |
| FT% | -2.0 (#140) | +0.7 (#43) |
| TO | -3.2 (#148) | -1.2 (#86) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Matisse Thybulle: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA).
- Pascal Siakam: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).
Recent games
- Matisse Thybulle: 19.6 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 16.6 on the board.
- Pascal Siakam: 34.1 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 39.3 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Matisse Thybulle playing tonight? · Is Pascal Siakam playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Pascal Siakam
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Matisse Thybulle or Pascal Siakam?
Points leagues: Pascal Siakam. 39.3 fantasy points per game against 16.6, 31st on our board to 254th. 9-cat leagues: Pascal Siakam again, -1.8 in summed z-scores against -1.9 (122nd to 123rd).
Who wins more categories, Matisse Thybulle or Pascal Siakam?
Category by category, Matisse Thybulle is ahead in 4 (STL, BLK, FT% and TO) and Pascal Siakam in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, 3PM and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Matisse Thybulle or Pascal Siakam?
Matisse Thybulle plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pascal Siakam 3. For that week alone, start Pascal Siakam: 117.8 projected fantasy points to 49.8 for Matisse Thybulle.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number