Kris Dunn vs Matisse Thybulle: who to start in Week 1
Kris Dunn plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Matisse Thybulle 3. For that week alone, start Kris Dunn: 65.0 projected fantasy points to 49.8 for Matisse Thybulle. Over the season, Kris Dunn leads in points leagues (21.7 fantasy points a game to 16.6) and Matisse Thybulle in 9-cat leagues (123rd against 124th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #175
- 21.7 FP/G, slot 15.07
- 9-cat leagues
- #124
- -1.9 z, slot 11.04, $4
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #254
- 16.6 FP/G, slot 22.02
- 9-cat leagues
- #123
- -1.9 z, slot 11.03, $5
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Kris Dunn. 21.7 fantasy points per game against 16.6, 175th on our board to 254th.
9-cat leagues: Matisse Thybulle instead, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -1.9 (123rd to 124th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Kris Dunn is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and FG%) and Matisse Thybulle in 5 (STL, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Matisse Thybulle produces more: 35.4 fantasy points to 28.4, on 16.9 minutes a night against 27.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Kris Dunn plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Matisse Thybulle 3. For that week alone, start Kris Dunn: 65.0 projected fantasy points to 49.8 for Matisse Thybulle.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Kris Dunn | Matisse Thybulle |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.7 | 16.6 |
| Minutes | 27.5 | 16.9 |
| PointsPTS | 7.2 | 6.1 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.4 | 2.0 |
| AssistsAST | 3.9 | 1.0 |
| StealsSTL | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Threes3PM | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 47.4% | 44.3% |
| Free throw %FT% | 73.4% | 84.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 82 | 30 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Kris Dunn | Matisse Thybulle |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 28.4 | 35.4 |
| Points | 9.5 | 12.9 |
| Rebounds | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Assists | 5.1 | 2.1 |
| Steals | 2.2 | 4.1 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 1.3 |
| Threes | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Kris Dunn | Matisse Thybulle |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.6 | -1.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.0 | -1.7 |
| AssistsAST | +0.1 | -1.3 |
| StealsSTL | +1.8 | +2.5 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.9 | -0.2 |
| Threes3PM | -0.6 | -0.3 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | +0.1 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.5 | +1.2 |
| Total | -1.9 | -1.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals, blocks, threes, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Kris Dunn.
| Punt | Kris Dunn | Matisse Thybulle |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.3 (#75) | -0.1 (#63) |
| REB | -0.9 (#90) | -0.2 (#66) |
| AST | -2.1 (#151) | -0.6 (#79) |
| STL | -3.8 (#224) | -4.4 (#269) |
| BLK | -1.2 (#97) | -1.8 (#123) |
| 3PM | -1.3 (#110) | -1.6 (#120) |
| FG% | -2.0 (#122) | -1.6 (#107) |
| FT% | -1.7 (#123) | -2.0 (#140) |
| TO | -2.5 (#127) | -3.2 (#148) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Kris Dunn: 3 games (Wed SAC, Fri @LAL, Sun @OKC).
- Matisse Thybulle: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA).
Recent games
- Kris Dunn: 29.9 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.7 on the board.
- Matisse Thybulle: 19.6 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 16.6 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Kris Dunn playing tonight? · Is Matisse Thybulle playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Kris Dunn or Matisse Thybulle?
Points leagues: Kris Dunn. 21.7 fantasy points per game against 16.6, 175th on our board to 254th. 9-cat leagues: Matisse Thybulle instead, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -1.9 (123rd to 124th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Kris Dunn or Matisse Thybulle?
Category by category, Kris Dunn is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and FG%) and Matisse Thybulle in 5 (STL, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Kris Dunn or Matisse Thybulle?
Kris Dunn plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Matisse Thybulle 3. For that week alone, start Kris Dunn: 65.0 projected fantasy points to 49.8 for Matisse Thybulle.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number