Matisse Thybulle vs Robert Williams III: who to start in Week 3
Matisse Thybulle plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Robert Williams III 4. For that week alone, start Robert Williams III: 86.3 projected fantasy points to 68.6 for Matisse Thybulle. Over the season, Robert Williams III leads in points leagues (21.6 fantasy points a game to 17.1) and Matisse Thybulle in 9-cat leagues (125th against 133rd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #257
- 17.1 FP/G, slot 22.05
- 9-cat leagues
- #125
- -1.9 z, slot 11.05, $5
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #188
- 21.6 FP/G, slot 16.08
- 9-cat leagues
- #133
- -2.0 z, slot 12.01, $4
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Robert Williams III. 21.6 fantasy points per game against 17.1, 188th on our board to 257th.
9-cat leagues: Matisse Thybulle instead, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (125th to 133rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Matisse Thybulle is ahead in 3 (STL, 3PM and FT%) and Robert Williams III in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Robert Williams III produces more: 45.7 fantasy points to 32.6, on 17.0 minutes a night against 18.9. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Matisse Thybulle plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Robert Williams III 4. For that week alone, start Robert Williams III: 86.3 projected fantasy points to 68.6 for Matisse Thybulle.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Matisse Thybulle | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 17.1 | 21.6 |
| Minutes | 18.9 | 17.0 |
| PointsPTS | 6.8 | 6.7 |
| ReboundsREB | 1.9 | 7.0 |
| AssistsAST | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| StealsSTL | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.5 | 0.1 |
| Field goal %FG% | 44.8% | 69.3% |
| Free throw %FT% | 84.6% | 61.7% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 30 | 59 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Matisse Thybulle | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 32.6 | 45.7 |
| Points | 12.9 | 14.3 |
| Rebounds | 3.6 | 14.9 |
| Assists | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| Steals | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| Threes | 2.9 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Matisse Thybulle | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.8 | -1.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.7 | +0.5 |
| AssistsAST | -1.4 | -1.4 |
| StealsSTL | +2.1 | -1.2 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.1 | +1.3 |
| Threes3PM | -0.2 | -1.6 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.2 | +1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.1 | -0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.2 | +1.4 |
| Total | -1.9 | -2.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Robert Williams III.
| Punt | Matisse Thybulle | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.2 (#69) | -0.2 (#67) |
| REB | -0.3 (#70) | -2.8 (#181) |
| AST | -0.6 (#76) | -0.5 (#74) |
| STL | -4.0 (#258) | -0.8 (#88) |
| BLK | -2.0 (#131) | -3.6 (#196) |
| 3PM | -1.7 (#129) | -0.3 (#64) |
| FG% | -1.7 (#113) | -3.8 (#198) |
| FT% | -2.0 (#140) | -1.2 (#104) |
| TO | -3.2 (#149) | -3.6 (#163) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Matisse Thybulle: 4 games (Mon MIA, Wed @SAC, Fri POR, Sun @DET), 1 back-to-back.
- Robert Williams III: 4 games (Mon @DEN, Wed @PHX, Fri @LAL, Sat SAS), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Matisse Thybulle: 19.0 fantasy points a game over his last 8 of 2026-27, against 17.1 on the board.
- Robert Williams III: 20.1 fantasy points a game over his last 5 of 2026-27, against 21.6 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Matisse Thybulle playing tonight? · Is Robert Williams III playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Matisse Thybulle or Robert Williams III?
Points leagues: Robert Williams III. 21.6 fantasy points per game against 17.1, 188th on our board to 257th. 9-cat leagues: Matisse Thybulle instead, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (125th to 133rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Matisse Thybulle or Robert Williams III?
Category by category, Matisse Thybulle is ahead in 3 (STL, 3PM and FT%) and Robert Williams III in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, Matisse Thybulle or Robert Williams III?
Matisse Thybulle plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Robert Williams III 4. For that week alone, start Robert Williams III: 86.3 projected fantasy points to 68.6 for Matisse Thybulle.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number