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Mikal Bridges vs Peyton Watson: who to start in Week 1

Mikal Bridges plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Peyton Watson 2. For that week alone, start Mikal Bridges: 85.8 projected fantasy points to 56.0 for Peyton Watson. Over the season, Mikal Bridges leads in both formats: 28.6 fantasy points a game to 28.0, and 45th against 110th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET.

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Mikal Bridges
SFPFSGNYKage 30
Points leagues
#101
28.6 FP/G, slot 9.05, $9
9-cat leagues
#45
+0.6 z, slot 4.09, $19

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Peyton Watson
SFPFCLEage 24
Points leagues
#104
28.0 FP/G, slot 9.08, $8
9-cat leagues
#110
-1.5 z, slot 10.02, $7

The call

Points leagues: Mikal Bridges. 28.6 fantasy points per game against 28.0, 101st on our board to 104th.

9-cat leagues: Mikal Bridges again, +0.6 in summed z-scores against -1.5 (45th to 110th).

Category by category, Mikal Bridges is ahead in 5 (AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Peyton Watson in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and FG%).

Per 36 minutes, Peyton Watson produces more: 34.1 fantasy points to 31.4, on 29.6 minutes a night against 32.8. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Mikal Bridges plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Peyton Watson 2. For that week alone, start Mikal Bridges: 85.8 projected fantasy points to 56.0 for Peyton Watson.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameMikal BridgesPeyton Watson
Fantasy points per game28.628.0
Minutes32.829.6
PointsPTS13.814.6
ReboundsREB3.84.9
AssistsAST3.52.1
StealsSTL1.20.9
BlocksBLK0.81.1
Threes3PM1.81.5
Field goal %FG%48.0%49.1%
Free throw %FT%82.7%73.0%
TurnoversTO0.91.7
Games, 2025-268254

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Mikal BridgesPeyton Watson
Fantasy points31.434.1
Points15.117.8
Rebounds4.15.9
Assists3.92.5
Steals1.31.1
Blocks0.81.4
Threes2.01.8
Turnovers1.02.1

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryMikal BridgesPeyton Watson
PointsPTS-0.5-0.3
ReboundsREB-0.9-0.4
AssistsAST-0.1-0.8
StealsSTL+0.6-0.3
BlocksBLK+0.2+0.9
Threes3PM+0.2-0.1
Field goal percentageFG%-0.1+0.1
Free throw percentageFT%+0.1-0.7
TurnoversTO+1.2+0.2
Total+0.6-1.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: Mikal Bridges stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntMikal BridgesPeyton Watson
PTS+1.0 (#36)-1.2 (#120)
REB+1.5 (#29)-1.3 (#110)
AST+0.5 (#42)-0.8 (#85)
STL-0.1 (#64)-1.3 (#112)
BLK+0.4 (#51)-2.6 (#158)
3PM+0.3 (#53)-1.4 (#107)
FG%+0.7 (#44)-1.9 (#120)
FT%+0.4 (#51)-0.8 (#87)
TO-0.6 (#72)-1.7 (#100)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Mikal Bridges: 3 games (Tue PHI, Fri @BOS, Sun ORL).
  • Peyton Watson: 2 games (Thu @PHI, Sat BKN).

Mikal Bridges or Peyton Watson: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Mikal Bridges: 12.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 28.6 on the board.
  • Peyton Watson: 27.2 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 28.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Mikal Bridges playing tonight? · Is Peyton Watson playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Peyton Watson

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Mikal Bridges or Peyton Watson?

    Points leagues: Mikal Bridges. 28.6 fantasy points per game against 28.0, 101st on our board to 104th. 9-cat leagues: Mikal Bridges again, +0.6 in summed z-scores against -1.5 (45th to 110th).

  • Who wins more categories, Mikal Bridges or Peyton Watson?

    Category by category, Mikal Bridges is ahead in 5 (AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Peyton Watson in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and FG%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Mikal Bridges or Peyton Watson?

    Mikal Bridges plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Peyton Watson 2. For that week alone, start Mikal Bridges: 85.8 projected fantasy points to 56.0 for Peyton Watson.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number