Nickeil Alexander-Walker vs Tyler Herro: who to start in Week 2
Nickeil Alexander-Walker plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Tyler Herro 3. For that week alone, start Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 137.8 projected fantasy points to 102.3 for Tyler Herro. Over the season, Nickeil Alexander-Walker leads in both formats: 34.4 fantasy points a game to 34.1, and 24th against 41st in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 26, 6:30 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #52
- 34.4 FP/G, slot 5.04, $19
- 9-cat leagues
- #24
- +2.4 z, slot 2.12, $29
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #53
- 34.1 FP/G, slot 5.05, $18
- 9-cat leagues
- #41
- +0.7 z, slot 4.05, $19
The call
Points leagues: Nickeil Alexander-Walker. 34.4 fantasy points per game against 34.1, 52nd on our board to 53rd.
9-cat leagues: Nickeil Alexander-Walker again, +2.4 in summed z-scores against +0.7 (24th to 41st).
Category by category, Nickeil Alexander-Walker is ahead in 4 (STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Tyler Herro in 3 (REB, AST and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Tyler Herro produces more: 39.1 fantasy points to 37.9, on 31.4 minutes a night against 32.8. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Tyler Herro 3. For that week alone, start Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 137.8 projected fantasy points to 102.3 for Tyler Herro.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 34.4 | 34.1 |
| Minutes | 32.8 | 31.4 |
| PointsPTS | 20.9 | 21.0 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.5 | 4.7 |
| AssistsAST | 3.7 | 4.3 |
| StealsSTL | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| Field goal %FG% | 46.0% | 47.5% |
| Free throw %FT% | 87.0% | 89.5% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 78 | 33 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 37.9 | 39.1 |
| Points | 22.9 | 24.1 |
| Rebounds | 3.9 | 5.4 |
| Assists | 4.1 | 5.0 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Threes | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 2.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.8 | +0.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.0 | -0.4 |
| AssistsAST | +0.1 | +0.4 |
| StealsSTL | +1.0 | -0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.4 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | +1.7 | +1.1 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +1.0 | +1.0 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| Total | +2.4 | +0.7 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals flips the 9-cat answer to Tyler Herro.
| Punt | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +1.5 (#26) | -0.3 (#69) |
| REB | +3.6 (#13) | +1.2 (#31) |
| AST | +2.2 (#23) | +0.1 (#51) |
| STL | +1.3 (#31) | +1.4 (#29) |
| BLK | +2.8 (#19) | +1.4 (#32) |
| 3PM | +0.5 (#45) | -0.7 (#83) |
| FG% | +3.3 (#20) | +1.1 (#38) |
| FT% | +1.3 (#36) | -0.5 (#77) |
| TO | +2.6 (#29) | +0.9 (#46) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 4 games (Mon @HOU, Wed MIA, Thu CLE, Sat @NOP), 1 back-to-back.
- Tyler Herro: 3 games (Mon IND, Wed HOU, Sat CLE).
Nickeil Alexander-Walker or Tyler Herro: the Week 2 start/sit call
Recent games
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 37.1 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 34.4 on the board.
- Tyler Herro: 36.2 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 34.1 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Nickeil Alexander-Walker playing tonight? · Is Tyler Herro playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Nickeil Alexander-Walker or Tyler Herro?
Points leagues: Nickeil Alexander-Walker. 34.4 fantasy points per game against 34.1, 52nd on our board to 53rd. 9-cat leagues: Nickeil Alexander-Walker again, +2.4 in summed z-scores against +0.7 (24th to 41st).
Who wins more categories, Nickeil Alexander-Walker or Tyler Herro?
Category by category, Nickeil Alexander-Walker is ahead in 4 (STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Tyler Herro in 3 (REB, AST and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 2, Nickeil Alexander-Walker or Tyler Herro?
Nickeil Alexander-Walker plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Tyler Herro 3. For that week alone, start Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 137.8 projected fantasy points to 102.3 for Tyler Herro.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 26, 2026 at 6:30 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number