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Paul George vs Stephon Castle: who to start in Week 1

Paul George plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephon Castle 3. For that week alone, start Stephon Castle: 104.8 projected fantasy points to 70.7 for Paul George. Over the season, Paul George leads in both formats: 35.3 fantasy points a game to 34.9, and 20th against 145th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 9:54 AM ET.

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Paul George
SFPFSGBOSage 36
Points leagues
#45
35.3 FP/G, slot 4.09, $19
9-cat leagues
#20
+2.8 z, slot 2.08, $31

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Stephon Castle
SGPGSASage 21
Points leagues
#47
34.9 FP/G, slot 4.11, $19
9-cat leagues
#145
-2.4 z, slot 13.01, $3

The call

Points leagues: Paul George. 35.3 fantasy points per game against 34.9, 45th on our board to 47th.

9-cat leagues: Paul George again, +2.8 in summed z-scores against -2.4 (20th to 145th).

Category by category, Paul George is ahead in 6 (PTS, STL, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Stephon Castle in 3 (REB, AST and FG%).

Per 36 minutes, Stephon Castle produces more: 42.1 fantasy points to 41.5, on 29.8 minutes a night against 30.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Paul George plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephon Castle 3. For that week alone, start Stephon Castle: 104.8 projected fantasy points to 70.7 for Paul George.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gamePaul GeorgeStephon Castle
Fantasy points per game35.334.9
Minutes30.729.8
PointsPTS18.617.1
ReboundsREB5.35.4
AssistsAST3.67.0
StealsSTL1.91.1
BlocksBLK0.40.3
Threes3PM3.01.4
Field goal %FG%45.1%46.7%
Free throw %FT%82.8%73.7%
TurnoversTO1.83.2
Games, 2025-263768

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Paul GeorgeStephon Castle
Fantasy points41.542.1
Points21.820.6
Rebounds6.26.5
Assists4.28.4
Steals2.21.3
Blocks0.50.3
Threes3.51.7
Turnovers2.13.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryPaul GeorgeStephon Castle
PointsPTS+0.4+0.1
ReboundsREB-0.2-0.2
AssistsAST-0.0+1.7
StealsSTL+2.4+0.2
BlocksBLK-0.6-0.9
Threes3PM+1.4-0.2
Field goal percentageFG%-0.9-0.4
Free throw percentageFT%+0.3-1.0
TurnoversTO+0.1-1.7
Total+2.8-2.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: Paul George stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntPaul GeorgeStephon Castle
PTS+2.3 (#14)-2.5 (#198)
REB+3.1 (#19)-2.6 (#171)
AST+2.7 (#16)-4.2 (#253)
STL+0.3 (#54)-2.6 (#170)
BLK+3.4 (#14)-1.7 (#121)
3PM+1.3 (#34)-2.2 (#146)
FG%+3.8 (#15)-2.6 (#142)
FT%+2.4 (#20)-1.5 (#115)
TO+2.8 (#23)-0.7 (#73)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Paul George: 2 games (Tue @DET, Fri NYK).
  • Stephon Castle: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back.

Paul George or Stephon Castle: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Paul George: 60.5 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 35.3 on the board.
  • Stephon Castle: 30.9 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 34.9 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Paul George playing tonight? · Is Stephon Castle playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Paul George, Stephon Castle

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Paul George or Stephon Castle?

    Points leagues: Paul George. 35.3 fantasy points per game against 34.9, 45th on our board to 47th. 9-cat leagues: Paul George again, +2.8 in summed z-scores against -2.4 (20th to 145th).

  • Who wins more categories, Paul George or Stephon Castle?

    Category by category, Paul George is ahead in 6 (PTS, STL, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Stephon Castle in 3 (REB, AST and FG%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Paul George or Stephon Castle?

    Paul George plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephon Castle 3. For that week alone, start Stephon Castle: 104.8 projected fantasy points to 70.7 for Paul George.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 9:54 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number