Mitchell Robinson vs Stephon Castle: who to start in Week 1
Mitchell Robinson plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephon Castle 3. For that week alone, start Stephon Castle: 104.8 projected fantasy points to 45.3 for Mitchell Robinson. Over the season, Stephon Castle leads in both formats: 34.9 fantasy points a game to 22.6, and 145th against 146th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #165
- 22.6 FP/G, slot 14.09
- 9-cat leagues
- #146
- -2.4 z, slot 13.02, $2
- Points leagues
- #47
- 34.9 FP/G, slot 4.11, $19
- 9-cat leagues
- #145
- -2.4 z, slot 13.01, $3
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Stephon Castle. 34.9 fantasy points per game against 22.6, 47th on our board to 165th.
9-cat leagues: Stephon Castle again, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -2.4 (145th to 146th).
Category by category, Mitchell Robinson is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Stephon Castle in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Stephon Castle produces more: 42.1 fantasy points to 41.8, on 29.8 minutes a night against 19.5. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Mitchell Robinson plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephon Castle 3. For that week alone, start Stephon Castle: 104.8 projected fantasy points to 45.3 for Mitchell Robinson.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Mitchell Robinson | Stephon Castle |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 22.6 | 34.9 |
| Minutes | 19.5 | 29.8 |
| PointsPTS | 5.6 | 17.1 |
| ReboundsREB | 8.4 | 5.4 |
| AssistsAST | 0.9 | 7.0 |
| StealsSTL | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 73.4% | 46.7% |
| Free throw %FT% | 37.8% | 73.7% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 60 | 68 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Mitchell Robinson | Stephon Castle |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 41.8 | 42.1 |
| Points | 10.3 | 20.6 |
| Rebounds | 15.5 | 6.5 |
| Assists | 1.6 | 8.4 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 2.3 | 0.3 |
| Threes | 0.0 | 1.7 |
| Turnovers | 1.4 | 3.8 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Mitchell Robinson | Stephon Castle |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.9 | +0.1 |
| ReboundsREB | +1.2 | -0.2 |
| AssistsAST | -1.4 | +1.7 |
| StealsSTL | -0.2 | +0.2 |
| BlocksBLK | +1.1 | -0.9 |
| Threes3PM | -1.7 | -0.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +1.4 | -0.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -2.3 | -1.0 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.4 | -1.7 |
| Total | -2.4 | -2.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Mitchell Robinson.
| Punt | Mitchell Robinson | Stephon Castle |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.5 (#81) | -2.5 (#198) |
| REB | -4.1 (#256) | -2.6 (#171) |
| AST | -0.9 (#96) | -4.2 (#253) |
| STL | -2.2 (#155) | -2.6 (#170) |
| BLK | -4.0 (#227) | -1.7 (#121) |
| 3PM | -0.6 (#80) | -2.2 (#146) |
| FG% | -4.7 (#240) | -2.6 (#142) |
| FT% | -0.0 (#65) | -1.5 (#115) |
| TO | -3.9 (#174) | -0.7 (#73) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Mitchell Robinson: 2 games (Tue @DET, Fri NYK).
- Stephon Castle: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Mitchell Robinson: 16.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 22.6 on the board.
- Stephon Castle: 30.9 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 34.9 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Mitchell Robinson playing tonight? · Is Stephon Castle playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Mitchell Robinson, Stephon Castle
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Mitchell Robinson or Stephon Castle?
Points leagues: Stephon Castle. 34.9 fantasy points per game against 22.6, 47th on our board to 165th. 9-cat leagues: Stephon Castle again, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -2.4 (145th to 146th).
Who wins more categories, Mitchell Robinson or Stephon Castle?
Category by category, Mitchell Robinson is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Stephon Castle in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Mitchell Robinson or Stephon Castle?
Mitchell Robinson plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephon Castle 3. For that week alone, start Stephon Castle: 104.8 projected fantasy points to 45.3 for Mitchell Robinson.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number