Peyton Watson vs Stephon Castle: who to start in Week 1
Peyton Watson plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephon Castle 3. For that week alone, start Stephon Castle: 105.6 projected fantasy points to 54.2 for Peyton Watson. Over the season, Stephon Castle leads in both formats: 35.2 fantasy points a game to 27.1, and 127th against 128th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 25, 12:29 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #111
- 27.1 FP/G, slot 10.03, $7
- 9-cat leagues
- #128
- -1.9 z, slot 11.08, $4
- Points leagues
- #47
- 35.2 FP/G, slot 4.11, $20
- 9-cat leagues
- #127
- -1.9 z, slot 11.07, $4
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Stephon Castle. 35.2 fantasy points per game against 27.1, 47th on our board to 111th.
9-cat leagues: Stephon Castle again, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -1.9 (127th to 128th).
Category by category, Peyton Watson is ahead in 4 (BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Stephon Castle in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, STL and 3PM).
Per 36 minutes, Stephon Castle produces more: 42.3 fantasy points to 32.9, on 30.0 minutes a night against 29.7. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Peyton Watson plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephon Castle 3. For that week alone, start Stephon Castle: 105.6 projected fantasy points to 54.2 for Peyton Watson.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Peyton Watson | Stephon Castle |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 27.1 | 35.2 |
| Minutes | 29.7 | 30.0 |
| PointsPTS | 14.0 | 17.1 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.5 | 5.4 |
| AssistsAST | 2.2 | 6.9 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Threes3PM | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Field goal %FG% | 47.5% | 46.1% |
| Free throw %FT% | 74.1% | 72.9% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.9 | 3.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 54 | 68 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Peyton Watson | Stephon Castle |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 32.9 | 42.3 |
| Points | 17.0 | 20.5 |
| Rebounds | 5.5 | 6.5 |
| Assists | 2.6 | 8.3 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Blocks | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Threes | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Turnovers | 2.3 | 3.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Peyton Watson | Stephon Castle |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.4 | +0.1 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| AssistsAST | -0.7 | +1.7 |
| StealsSTL | -0.1 | +0.4 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.9 | -0.9 |
| Threes3PM | -0.2 | -0.0 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.2 | -0.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.6 | -1.1 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.1 | -1.5 |
| Total | -1.9 | -1.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds, assists, steals and threes flips the 9-cat answer to Peyton Watson.
| Punt | Peyton Watson | Stephon Castle |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.6 (#141) | -2.1 (#172) |
| REB | -1.6 (#121) | -2.0 (#136) |
| AST | -1.3 (#114) | -3.7 (#228) |
| STL | -1.9 (#140) | -2.4 (#156) |
| BLK | -3.1 (#174) | -1.2 (#97) |
| 3PM | -1.8 (#127) | -2.0 (#136) |
| FG% | -2.2 (#128) | -2.0 (#120) |
| FT% | -1.4 (#112) | -0.9 (#91) |
| TO | -1.9 (#106) | -0.5 (#71) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Peyton Watson: 2 games (Thu @PHI, Sat BKN).
- Stephon Castle: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Peyton Watson: 20.4 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 27.1 on the board.
- Stephon Castle: 35.2 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 35.2 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Peyton Watson playing tonight? · Is Stephon Castle playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Peyton Watson, Stephon Castle
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Peyton Watson or Stephon Castle?
Points leagues: Stephon Castle. 35.2 fantasy points per game against 27.1, 47th on our board to 111th. 9-cat leagues: Stephon Castle again, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -1.9 (127th to 128th).
Who wins more categories, Peyton Watson or Stephon Castle?
Category by category, Peyton Watson is ahead in 4 (BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Stephon Castle in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, STL and 3PM).
Who should I start in Week 1, Peyton Watson or Stephon Castle?
Peyton Watson plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephon Castle 3. For that week alone, start Stephon Castle: 105.6 projected fantasy points to 54.2 for Peyton Watson.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 12:29 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number