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Start Bo Nix or Justin Herbert? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Start Bo Nix over Justin Herbert

Start

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · at CAR

Market projects
15.6
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs QB
16.6
13th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Sit

Justin Herbert

QB · LAC · vs HOU

Market projects
12.9
recent weeks avg
HOU D vs QB
18.5
11th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Justin Herbert for Bo Nix?

Not on these numbers alone. Justin Herbert projects 125 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (13.9 a game over 9 games) and Bo Nix 130 (16.2 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Bo Nix over Justin Herbert.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Bo Nix over Justin Herbert in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 15.6 points and Justin Herbert at 12.9, a gap of 2.7. No player market is posted for Bo Nix this week yet, so his 15.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (14.9, 16.3 and 15.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Justin Herbert this week yet, so his 12.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (13.8 and 12.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Bo Nix at ADP 116 and Justin Herbert at 112.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Bo Nix yet. His market-based projections were 14.9, 16.3 and 15.7 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 15.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Justin Herbert yet. His market-based projections were 13.8 and 12.0 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 12.9, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Bo Nix 2.7 points ahead of Justin Herbert on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Bo Nix and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 16.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 208 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

Justin Herbert and LAC host HOU on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

HOU allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 11th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 263 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against HOU, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Justin Herbert has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Justin Herbert is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 268 times and threw an average of 5.4 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 7 against ARI: 61 of 61 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 75 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 8 against KC: 20 of 32 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Through Week 8, Justin Herbert played 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 255 times and threw an average of 7.4 air yards per attempt.

Justin Herbert, Week 4 against SEA: 71 of 71 snaps, 19 of 31 passes for 189 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 6 carries for 40 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 5 against DEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 14 of 23 passes for 121 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 54 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 6 against KC: 68 of 68 snaps, 22 of 37 passes for 204 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 26 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 8 against LAR: 24 of 31 passes for 257 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 4 carries for 15 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justin Herbert played 16 games for LAC and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He completed 340 of 512 passes for 3727 yards, 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Justin Herbert for Bo Nix?

    Not on these numbers alone. Justin Herbert projects 125 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (13.9 a game over 9 games) and Bo Nix 130 (16.2 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Bo Nix over Justin Herbert.

  • Should I drop Bo Nix for Justin Herbert?

    Not on these numbers alone. Bo Nix projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 8 games) and Justin Herbert 125 (13.9 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Bo Nix over Justin Herbert.

Should I drop Bo Nix?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board