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Start Bryce Young or Justin Herbert? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 10:46 AM ET.

Start

QB · LAC · vs HOU

Market projects
16.6
fantasy pts
HOU D vs QB
18.5
13th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
63 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · CAR · vs DEN

Market projects
15.5
fantasy pts
DEN D vs QB
17.3
14th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
46 of 100 at QB
Snap share
95%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Justin Herbert for Bryce Young?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Bryce Young projects 152 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 9 games), Justin Herbert 125 (13.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Justin Herbert over Bryce Young, 16.6 to 15.5 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Justin Herbert over Bryce Young in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Justin Herbert at 16.6 points and Bryce Young at 15.5, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Justin Herbert at ADP 112 and Bryce Young at 212.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.6 fantasy points for Justin Herbert, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Justin Herbert is 1-2 passing touchdowns, 23 rushing yards and 0.2 touchdowns (3, 3 and 5 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.5 fantasy points for Bryce Young, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bryce Young is 234 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 7 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 13, 8 and 11 market sources).

That puts Justin Herbert 1.1 points ahead of Bryce Young on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Justin Herbert and LAC host HOU on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

HOU allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 263 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against HOU, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Bryce Young and CAR host DEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DEN allowed 17.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 247 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against DEN, with 0.9 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Justin Herbert has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justin Herbert is not on the injury report.

Bryce Young is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Justin Herbert played 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 255 times and threw an average of 7.4 air yards per attempt.

Justin Herbert, Week 4 against SEA: 71 of 71 snaps, 19 of 31 passes for 189 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 6 carries for 40 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 5 against DEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 14 of 23 passes for 121 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 54 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 6 against KC: 68 of 68 snaps, 22 of 37 passes for 204 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 26 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 8 against LAR: 61 of 61 snaps, 24 of 31 passes for 257 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 4 carries for 15 yards.

Through Week 8, Bryce Young played 95 percent of CAR snaps, dropped back 296 times and threw an average of 8.1 air yards per attempt.

Bryce Young, Week 4 against DET: 75 of 75 snaps, 29 of 41 passes for 329 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 7 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 6 against PHI: 79 of 79 snaps, 20 of 39 passes for 281 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 7 against TB: 43 of 56 snaps, 14 of 27 passes for 163 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 9 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 8 against GB: 73 of 73 snaps, 23 of 40 passes for 209 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justin Herbert played 16 games for LAC and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He completed 340 of 512 passes for 3727 yards, 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bryce Young played 16 games for CAR and scored 229.0 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing QB19.

He completed 304 of 478 passes for 3011 yards, 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 54 times for 216 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Justin Herbert for Bryce Young?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Bryce Young projects 152 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 9 games), Justin Herbert 125 (13.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Justin Herbert over Bryce Young, 16.6 to 15.5 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Bryce Young for Justin Herbert?

    No. Keep Bryce Young: he projects 152 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 9 games), Justin Herbert 125 (13.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Justin Herbert over Bryce Young, 16.6 to 15.5 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Bryce Young?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board