Start Caleb Williams or Kyler Murray? Week 9
Updated Nov 3, 3:06 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 10 answer posts Tuesday.
Latest
- : Kyler Murray: Listed Questionable (Hamstring) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start Caleb Williams over Kyler Murray
- Market projects
- 18.0
- recent weeks avg
- TB D vs QB
- 14.7
- 6th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 97%
- Through Week 7
- Market projects
- 17.4
- recent weeks avg
- BUF D vs QB
- 22.3
- 4th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 84%
- Through Week 8
Should I drop Caleb Williams for Kyler Murray?
Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Kyler Murray 154 (17.1 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Kyler Murray. Kyler Murray is listed questionable.
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Our Week 9 call
Start Caleb Williams over Kyler Murray in Week 9.
Market-based projections have Caleb Williams at 18.0 points and Kyler Murray at 17.4, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Caleb Williams this week yet, so his 18.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (18.0, 18.5 and 17.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Kyler Murray this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (17.3 and 17.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Caleb Williams at ADP 87 and Kyler Murray at 139.
What the market projects
No Week 9 player market is posted for Caleb Williams yet. His market-based projections were 18.0, 18.5 and 17.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
No Week 9 player market is posted for Kyler Murray yet. His market-based projections were 17.3 and 17.6 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
That puts Caleb Williams 0.6 points ahead of Kyler Murray on these projections.
Week 9 matchups
Caleb Williams and CHI host TB on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.
TB allowed 14.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 6th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 234 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against TB, with 1.1 interceptions a game.
Kyler Murray and MIN host BUF on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.
BUF allowed 22.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 4th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 299 yards and 2-3 touchdowns a game against BUF, with 0.5 interceptions a game.
By points allowed to the position, Kyler Murray has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.
Kyler Murray is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.
Usage before Week 9
Through Week 7, Caleb Williams played 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 150 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.
Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.
Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.
Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.
Caleb Williams, Week 7 against NE: 69 of 69 snaps, 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.
Through Week 8, Kyler Murray played 84 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 184 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.
Kyler Murray, Week 4 against MIA: 78 of 78 snaps, 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 21 yards.
Kyler Murray, Week 5 against NO: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 54 yards.
Kyler Murray, Week 7 against IND: 59 of 59 snaps, 14 of 24 passes for 150 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 41 yards.
Kyler Murray, Week 8 against DET: 17 of 29 passes for 210 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 36 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.
He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.
He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 9 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Caleb Williams for Kyler Murray?
Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Kyler Murray 154 (17.1 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Kyler Murray. Kyler Murray is listed questionable.
Should I drop Kyler Murray for Caleb Williams?
Not on these numbers alone. Kyler Murray projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games) and Caleb Williams 148 (18.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Kyler Murray. Kyler Murray is listed questionable.
Week 9 on the board
- Is Caleb Williams playing Week 9?
- Is Kyler Murray playing Week 9?
- Bears depth chart
- Vikings depth chart
- Week 9 QB rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings