Start Caleb Williams or Patrick Mahomes? Week 9
Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 10 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Caleb Williams over Patrick Mahomes
- Market projects
- 18.0
- recent weeks avg
- TB D vs QB
- 14.7
- 6th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 97%
- Through Week 7
- Market projects
- 16.4
- recent weeks avg
- NYJ D vs QB
- 16.7
- 15th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 8
Should I drop Caleb Williams for Patrick Mahomes?
Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Patrick Mahomes 154 (17.1 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Patrick Mahomes.
Parlae may earn a commission from price links.
Caleb Williams rookie cardsPatrick Mahomes rookie cards
Make this call for your own roster
Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.
Or get it by email
Tuesday 7am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.
Free. One a week, one tap to stop.
Our Week 9 call
Start Caleb Williams over Patrick Mahomes in Week 9.
Market-based projections have Caleb Williams at 18.0 points and Patrick Mahomes at 16.4, a gap of 1.7. No player market is posted for Caleb Williams this week yet, so his 18.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (18.0, 18.5 and 17.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Patrick Mahomes this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (16.9, 16.3 and 16.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Caleb Williams at ADP 87 and Patrick Mahomes at 107.
What the market projects
No Week 9 player market is posted for Caleb Williams yet. His market-based projections were 18.0, 18.5 and 17.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
No Week 9 player market is posted for Patrick Mahomes yet. His market-based projections were 16.9, 16.3 and 16.0 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
That puts Caleb Williams 1.7 points ahead of Patrick Mahomes on these projections.
Week 9 matchups
Caleb Williams and CHI host TB on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.
TB allowed 14.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 6th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 234 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against TB, with 1.1 interceptions a game.
Patrick Mahomes and KC host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NYJ allowed 16.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 203 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against NYJ, with 0.1 interceptions a game.
By points allowed to the position, Patrick Mahomes has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.
Patrick Mahomes is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 9
Through Week 7, Caleb Williams played 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 150 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.
Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.
Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.
Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.
Caleb Williams, Week 7 against NE: 69 of 69 snaps, 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.
Through Week 8, Patrick Mahomes played 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 254 times and threw an average of 5.8 air yards per attempt.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 4 against LV: 60 of 60 snaps, 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 6 against LAC: 61 of 61 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 19 yards.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 7 against SEA: 53 of 53 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 8 against DEN: 30 of 41 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 6 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.
He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.
He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 9 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Caleb Williams for Patrick Mahomes?
Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Patrick Mahomes 154 (17.1 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Patrick Mahomes.
Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Caleb Williams?
Not on these numbers alone. Patrick Mahomes projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games) and Caleb Williams 148 (18.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Patrick Mahomes.
Week 9 on the board
- Is Caleb Williams playing Week 9?
- Is Patrick Mahomes playing Week 9?
- Bears depth chart
- Chiefs depth chart
- Week 9 QB rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings