Skip to main content
parlae.io
Sign in

Start Baker Mayfield or Patrick Mahomes? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 4:36 AM ET.

Start Patrick Mahomes over Baker Mayfield

Start

Patrick Mahomes

QB · KC · vs NYJ

Market projects
16.4
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs QB
16.7
15th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Sit

Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · at CHI

Market projects
16.0
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs QB
19.9
10th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
96%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Patrick Mahomes?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Baker Mayfield 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Baker Mayfield.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Patrick Mahomes rookie cards

Advertisement

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

SleeperESPNYahoo

Or get it by email

Tuesday 7am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

Our Week 9 call

Start Patrick Mahomes over Baker Mayfield in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Patrick Mahomes at 16.4 points and Baker Mayfield at 16.0, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Patrick Mahomes this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (16.9, 16.3 and 16.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Baker Mayfield this week yet, so his 16.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (16.0 and 16.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Patrick Mahomes at ADP 107 and Baker Mayfield at 133.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Patrick Mahomes yet. His market-based projections were 16.9, 16.3 and 16.0 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Baker Mayfield yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 16.0 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 16.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Patrick Mahomes 0.4 points ahead of Baker Mayfield on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Patrick Mahomes and KC host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 16.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 203 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against NYJ, with 0.1 interceptions a game.

Baker Mayfield and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CHI allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 241 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against CHI, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Baker Mayfield has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Patrick Mahomes is not on the injury report.

Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Patrick Mahomes played 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 254 times and threw an average of 5.8 air yards per attempt.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 4 against LV: 60 of 60 snaps, 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 6 against LAC: 61 of 61 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 19 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 7 against SEA: 53 of 53 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 8 against DEN: 30 of 41 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Through Week 8, Baker Mayfield played 96 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 134 times and threw an average of 8.4 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 7 against CAR: 57 of 63 snaps, 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 8 against ATL: 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 15 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Patrick Mahomes?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Baker Mayfield 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Baker Mayfield.

  • Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Baker Mayfield?

    No. Keep Patrick Mahomes: he projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Baker Mayfield 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Baker Mayfield.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board