Start Christian Watson or Justin Jefferson? Week 9

Our Week 9 call

Start Justin Jefferson over Christian Watson in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Justin Jefferson at 16.3 points and Christian Watson at 14.6, a gap of 1.7. No player market is posted for Justin Jefferson this week yet, so his 16.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (15.8 and 16.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Justin Jefferson at ADP 14 and Christian Watson at 58.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Justin Jefferson yet. His market-based projections were 15.8 and 16.8 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 16.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Justin Jefferson is 0.4 touchdowns (5 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for Christian Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Christian Watson is 73 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (10, 8 and 7 market sources).

That puts Justin Jefferson 1.7 points ahead of Christian Watson on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Justin Jefferson and MIN host BUF on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BUF allowed 37.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 5th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 154 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against BUF.

Christian Watson and GB visit NE on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

NE allowed 33.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 152 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against NE.

By points allowed to the position, Justin Jefferson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justin Jefferson is not on the injury report.

Christian Watson is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Justin Jefferson played 80 percent of MIN snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Justin Jefferson, Week 3 against TB: 7 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 32 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 5 against NO: 63 of 71 snaps, 1 carry for -11 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 79 yards, 1 touchdown.

Justin Jefferson, Week 7 against IND: 55 of 59 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 44 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 8 against DET: 51 of 53 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Christian Watson played 77 percent of GB snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian Watson, Week 5 against CHI: 49 of 61 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Christian Watson, Week 6 against DAL: 66 of 75 snaps, 8 targets and 3 catches for 64 yards.

Christian Watson, Week 7 against DET: 54 of 67 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 57 yards.

Christian Watson, Week 8 against CAR: 34 of 69 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 113 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Christian Watson played 10 games for GB and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 493 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

• Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson.
• Start CeeDee Lamb over Justin Jefferson.
• Start Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave.
• Start Christian Watson over A.J. Brown.
• Start Chris Olave over Christian Watson.
• Start Christian Watson over DJ Moore.