Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. or Tyler Allgeier? Week 9
Updated Nov 2, 12:01 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 10 answer posts Tuesday.
Latest
- : Chris Rodriguez Jr.: Listed Questionable (Hand) (Sleeper injury feed)
- : Zonovan Knight: Questionable to Out (Concussion) (Sleeper injury feed)
- : Tyler Allgeier: Listed Questionable (Toe) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Tyler Allgeier
- Market projects
- 9.3
- fantasy pts
- BAL D vs RB
- 18.5
- 5th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Target share
- 6%
- Through Week 8
- Market projects
- 8.4
- recent weeks avg
- SEA D vs RB
- 20.9
- 15th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 50%
- Through Week 8
- Target share
- 7%
- Through Week 8
Should I drop Chris Rodriguez Jr. for Tyler Allgeier?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 58 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 8 games), Chris Rodriguez Jr. 42 (4.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Tyler Allgeier. So make the move after his Week 9 game. Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed questionable.
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Our Week 9 call
Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Tyler Allgeier in Week 9.
Market-based projections have Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 9.3 points and Tyler Allgeier at 8.4, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier this week yet, so his 8.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (11.9, 9.0 and 4.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Chris Rodriguez Jr. at ADP 178 and Tyler Allgeier at 169. Market coverage on Chris Rodriguez Jr. is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 9.3 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Chris Rodriguez Jr. is 30 rushing yards and 0-1 touchdowns (4 and 11 market sources).
No Week 9 player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier yet. His market-based projections were 11.9, 9.0 and 4.3 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 8.4, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
That puts Chris Rodriguez Jr. 0.9 points ahead of Tyler Allgeier on these projections.
Week 9 matchups
Chris Rodriguez Jr. and JAX visit BAL on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.
BAL allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 5th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 77 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against BAL and caught passes for 15 more yards.
Tyler Allgeier and ARI visit SEA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
SEA allowed 20.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 71 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against SEA and caught passes for 32 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Tyler Allgeier has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed as questionable with a hand injury.
Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 9
Through Week 8, Chris Rodriguez Jr. took 18 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 8 against IND: 6 carries for 41 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.
Through Week 8, Tyler Allgeier played 50 percent of ARI snaps, took 35 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.
Tyler Allgeier, Week 5 against DET: 32 of 73 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.
Tyler Allgeier, Week 6 against LAR: 40 of 72 snaps, 18 carries for 38 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.
Tyler Allgeier, Week 7 against DEN: 38 of 81 snaps, 8 carries for 19 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 30 yards.
Tyler Allgeier, Week 8 against DAL: 11 carries for 147 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Chris Rodriguez Jr. played 13 games for WAS and scored 92.0 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing RB51.
He ran 112 times for 500 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 30 yards.
He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against PHI: 16 carries for 65 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.
Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against PHI: 28 of 54 snaps, 15 carries for 63 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.9 PPR points.
In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.
He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.
He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 9 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Chris Rodriguez Jr. for Tyler Allgeier?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 58 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 8 games), Chris Rodriguez Jr. 42 (4.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Tyler Allgeier. So make the move after his Week 9 game. Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Chris Rodriguez Jr.?
No. Keep Tyler Allgeier: he projects 58 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 8 games), Chris Rodriguez Jr. 42 (4.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Tyler Allgeier. Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed questionable.
Week 9 on the board
- Is Chris Rodriguez Jr. playing Week 9?
- Is Tyler Allgeier playing Week 9?
- Jaguars depth chart
- Cardinals depth chart
- Week 9 RB rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings