Start Dak Prescott or Matthew Stafford? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 3:11 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Dak Prescott over Matthew Stafford

Start

Dak Prescott

QB · DAL · at PHI

Market projects: 19.0; fantasy pts
PHI D vs QB: 19.4; 9th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 100 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Matthew Stafford

QB · LAR · at LV

Market projects: 18.2; fantasy pts
LV D vs QB: 21.2; 6th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 63 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Dak Prescott?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Dak Prescott projects 181 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.1 a game over 10 games), Matthew Stafford 164 (16.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Dak Prescott over Matthew Stafford, 19.0 to 18.2 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Dak Prescott over Matthew Stafford in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Dak Prescott at 19.0 points and Matthew Stafford at 18.2, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Dak Prescott at ADP 64 and Matthew Stafford at 75. Market coverage on Dak Prescott is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 19.0 fantasy points for Dak Prescott, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Dak Prescott is 265 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (12, 13 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 18.2 fantasy points for Matthew Stafford, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Matthew Stafford is 270 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and under 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 14 and 12 market sources).

That puts Dak Prescott 0.8 points ahead of Matthew Stafford on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Dak Prescott and DAL visit PHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

PHI allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 9th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 254 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against PHI, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

Matthew Stafford and LAR visit LV on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LV allowed 21.2 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 254 yards and 2.2 touchdowns a game against LV, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Matthew Stafford has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Matthew Stafford is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 265 times and threw an average of 7.4 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 3 against BAL: 74 of 74 snaps, 25 of 40 passes for 276 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 4 against HOU: 78 of 78 snaps, 32 of 45 passes for 335 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 5 against TB: 60 of 60 snaps, 24 of 42 passes for 316 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.

Dak Prescott, Week 6 against GB: 78 of 78 snaps, 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Through Week 6, Matthew Stafford played 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 260 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.

Matthew Stafford, Week 3 against DEN: 86 of 86 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 390 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 13 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 4 against PHI: 84 of 84 snaps, 32 of 51 passes for 317 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 5 against BUF: 82 of 82 snaps, 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Matthew Stafford, Week 6 against ARI: 58 of 58 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Dak Prescott?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Dak Prescott projects 181 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.1 a game over 10 games), Matthew Stafford 164 (16.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Dak Prescott over Matthew Stafford, 19.0 to 18.2 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Dak Prescott for Matthew Stafford?
No. Keep Dak Prescott: he projects 181 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.1 a game over 10 games), Matthew Stafford 164 (16.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Dak Prescott over Matthew Stafford, 19.0 to 18.2 projected PPR points.