Start Matthew Stafford or Aaron Rodgers? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 4:41 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start Matthew Stafford over Aaron Rodgers

Start

Matthew Stafford

QB · LAR · at LV

Market projects: 18.3; fantasy pts
LV D vs QB: 21.2; 6th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 63 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 6

Sit

Aaron Rodgers

QB · PIT · at NO

Market projects: 15.4; fantasy pts
NO D vs QB: 18.5; 14th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 83 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 99%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Matthew Stafford?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Matthew Stafford projects 164 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.4 a game over 10 games), Aaron Rodgers 145 (14.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Aaron Rodgers, 18.3 to 15.4 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Matthew Stafford over Aaron Rodgers in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Matthew Stafford at 18.3 points and Aaron Rodgers at 15.4, a gap of 2.8. Matthew Stafford's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Matthew Stafford at ADP 75 and Aaron Rodgers at 231.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.4 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 236 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 0-1 interceptions, 1 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (13, 14, 6, 6 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 18.3 fantasy points for Matthew Stafford, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Matthew Stafford is 271 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and under 0.1 rushing touchdowns (11, 14 and 13 market sources).

That puts Matthew Stafford 2.8 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 256 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against NO, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Matthew Stafford and LAR visit LV on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LV allowed 21.2 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 254 yards and 2.2 touchdowns a game against LV, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Matthew Stafford has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Matthew Stafford is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Aaron Rodgers played 99 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 252 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 3 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 292 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 12 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 4 against CLE: 72 of 72 snaps, 22 of 40 passes for 299 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Through Week 6, Matthew Stafford played 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 260 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.

Matthew Stafford, Week 3 against DEN: 86 of 86 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 390 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 13 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 4 against PHI: 84 of 84 snaps, 32 of 51 passes for 317 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 5 against BUF: 82 of 82 snaps, 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Matthew Stafford, Week 6 against ARI: 58 of 58 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Matthew Stafford?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Matthew Stafford projects 164 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.4 a game over 10 games), Aaron Rodgers 145 (14.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Aaron Rodgers, 18.3 to 15.4 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Aaron Rodgers?
No. Keep Matthew Stafford: he projects 164 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.4 a game over 10 games), Aaron Rodgers 145 (14.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Aaron Rodgers, 18.3 to 15.4 projected PPR points.