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Start Sam Darnold or Daniel Jones? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Start Sam Darnold over Daniel Jones

Start

Sam Darnold

QB · SEA · vs ARI

Market projects
15.2
recent weeks avg
ARI D vs QB
22.7
3rd most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
89%
Through Week 7
Sit

Daniel Jones

QB · IND · vs DAL

Market projects
12.9
recent weeks avg
DAL D vs QB
20.0
8th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Daniel Jones for Sam Darnold?

Not on these numbers alone. Daniel Jones projects 119 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 8 games) and Sam Darnold 122 (15.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Sam Darnold over Daniel Jones.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Sam Darnold over Daniel Jones in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Sam Darnold at 15.2 points and Daniel Jones at 12.9, a gap of 2.2. No player market is posted for Sam Darnold this week yet, so his 15.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (14.6, 15.1 and 15.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Daniel Jones this week yet, so his 12.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (16.0, 11.5 and 11.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Sam Darnold at ADP 155 and Daniel Jones at 179.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Sam Darnold yet. His market-based projections were 14.6, 15.1 and 15.8 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 15.2, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Daniel Jones yet. His market-based projections were 16.0, 11.5 and 11.3 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 12.9, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Sam Darnold 2.2 points ahead of Daniel Jones on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Sam Darnold and SEA host ARI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 244 yards and 2.4 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Daniel Jones and IND host DAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DAL allowed 20.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 8th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 235 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against DAL, with 0.3 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Sam Darnold has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Sam Darnold is not on the injury report.

Daniel Jones is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 7, Sam Darnold played 89 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 196 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Sam Darnold, Week 4 against LAC: 60 of 60 snaps, 13 of 22 passes for 168 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 5 against SF: 63 of 63 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 6 against DEN: 85 of 85 snaps, 27 of 49 passes for 278 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 19 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 7 against KC: 69 of 69 snaps, 20 of 28 passes for 257 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Through Week 8, Daniel Jones played 100 percent of IND snaps, dropped back 299 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Daniel Jones, Week 5 against PIT: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 44 passes for 267 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 6 against TEN: 83 of 83 snaps, 22 of 41 passes for 269 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 30 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 7 against MIN: 58 of 58 snaps, 13 of 22 passes for 108 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 13 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 8 against JAX: 19 of 28 passes for 144 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Sam Darnold played 17 games for SEA and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.

He completed 323 of 477 passes for 4048 yards, 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran 35 times for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Daniel Jones played 13 games for IND and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He completed 261 of 384 passes for 3101 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Daniel Jones for Sam Darnold?

    Not on these numbers alone. Daniel Jones projects 119 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 8 games) and Sam Darnold 122 (15.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Sam Darnold over Daniel Jones.

  • Should I drop Sam Darnold for Daniel Jones?

    Not on these numbers alone. Sam Darnold projects 122 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 8 games) and Daniel Jones 119 (14.9 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Sam Darnold over Daniel Jones.

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board