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Start Baker Mayfield or Daniel Jones? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 12:11 AM ET.

Start

QB · TB · at CHI

Market projects
16.0
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs QB
19.9
10th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
96%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · IND · vs DAL

Market projects
12.9
recent weeks avg
DAL D vs QB
20.0
8th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Daniel Jones for Baker Mayfield?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Baker Mayfield projects 129 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 8 games), Daniel Jones 119 (14.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Daniel Jones.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Baker Mayfield over Daniel Jones in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Baker Mayfield at 16.0 points and Daniel Jones at 12.9, a gap of 3.1. No player market is posted for Baker Mayfield this week yet, so his 16.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (16.0 and 16.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Daniel Jones this week yet, so his 12.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (16.0, 11.5 and 11.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Baker Mayfield at ADP 133 and Daniel Jones at 179.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Baker Mayfield yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 16.0 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 16.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Daniel Jones yet. His market-based projections were 16.0, 11.5 and 11.3 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 12.9, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Baker Mayfield 3.1 points ahead of Daniel Jones on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Baker Mayfield and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CHI allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 241 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against CHI, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Daniel Jones and IND host DAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DAL allowed 20.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 8th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 235 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against DAL, with 0.3 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Daniel Jones has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report.

Daniel Jones is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Baker Mayfield played 96 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 134 times and threw an average of 8.4 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 7 against CAR: 57 of 63 snaps, 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 8 against ATL: 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 15 yards.

Through Week 8, Daniel Jones played 100 percent of IND snaps, dropped back 299 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Daniel Jones, Week 5 against PIT: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 44 passes for 267 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 6 against TEN: 83 of 83 snaps, 22 of 41 passes for 269 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 30 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 7 against MIN: 58 of 58 snaps, 13 of 22 passes for 108 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 13 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 8 against JAX: 19 of 28 passes for 144 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Daniel Jones played 13 games for IND and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He completed 261 of 384 passes for 3101 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Daniel Jones for Baker Mayfield?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Baker Mayfield projects 129 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 8 games), Daniel Jones 119 (14.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Daniel Jones.

  • Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Daniel Jones?

    No. Keep Baker Mayfield: he projects 129 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 8 games), Daniel Jones 119 (14.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Daniel Jones.

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board