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Start Sam Darnold or Drew Lock? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 3:31 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Coach: Seahawks QB Sam Darnold ruled out with quad injury, is week-to-week (ESPN)
  • : Sam Darnold: Listed Out (Quadriceps) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Drew Lock: Questionable to Out (Elbow) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Drew Lock over Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold is listed out, so Drew Lock starts despite the lower projection.

Start

Drew Lock

QB · SEA · vs ARI · Questionable

Market projects
13.3
fantasy pts
ARI D vs QB
22.4
2nd most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
36 of 100 at QB
Snap share
96%
Through Week 2
Sit

Sam Darnold

QB · SEA · vs ARI · Out

Market projects
15.5
fantasy pts
ARI D vs QB
22.4
2nd most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
90%
Through Week 8

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Our Week 9 call

Start Drew Lock over Sam Darnold in Week 9.

Sam Darnold is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Drew Lock.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 13.4 fantasy points for Drew Lock, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Drew Lock is 213 passing yards, 6 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (8, 8 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.5 fantasy points for Sam Darnold, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Sam Darnold is 225 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 6 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (12, 14, 11 and 12 market sources).

That puts Sam Darnold 2.2 points ahead of Drew Lock on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Drew Lock and SEA host ARI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Sam Darnold and SEA host ARI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Injury status

Drew Lock is listed as questionable with a elbow injury.

Sam Darnold is listed as out with a quadriceps injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 2, Drew Lock played 96 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 51 times and threw an average of 7.6 air yards per attempt.

Drew Lock, Week 1 against NE: 45 of 50 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 14 yards.

Drew Lock, Week 2 against ARI: 70 of 70 snaps, 19 of 26 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 8, Sam Darnold played 90 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 235 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Sam Darnold, Week 5 against SF: 63 of 63 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 6 against DEN: 85 of 85 snaps, 27 of 49 passes for 278 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 19 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 7 against KC: 69 of 69 snaps, 20 of 28 passes for 257 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 8 against CHI: 63 of 63 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 188 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Drew Lock played 5 games for SEA and scored 0.1 PPR points, 0.0 a game, finishing QB73.

He completed 2 of 3 passes for 15 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 6 times for -5 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Sam Darnold played 17 games for SEA and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.

He completed 323 of 477 passes for 4048 yards, 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran 35 times for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board