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Start J.J. McCarthy or Geno Smith? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 10:36 PM ET.

Latest

  • : J.J. McCarthy: Listed Questionable (Undisclosed) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start J.J. McCarthy over Geno Smith

Start

J.J. McCarthy

QB · NYG · vs WAS · Questionable

Market projects
16.0
fantasy pts
WAS D vs QB
20.6
3rd most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
26 of 100 at QB
Snap share
49%
Through Week 9
Sit

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs BUF

Market projects
15.5
fantasy pts
BUF D vs QB
19.0
10th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
44 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Geno Smith for J.J. McCarthy?

Yes, on the rest of the season. J.J. McCarthy projects 121 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 8 games), Geno Smith 104 (14.8 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts J.J. McCarthy over Geno Smith, 16.0 to 15.5 projected PPR points. J.J. McCarthy is listed questionable.

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J.J. McCarthy rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start J.J. McCarthy over Geno Smith in Week 10.

Market-based projections have J.J. McCarthy at 16.0 points and Geno Smith at 15.5, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Geno Smith's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for J.J. McCarthy, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for J.J. McCarthy is 211 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 19 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (13, 14, 13 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.5 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Geno Smith is 221 passing yards and 1-2 passing touchdowns (6 and 6 market sources).

That puts J.J. McCarthy 0.5 points ahead of Geno Smith on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

J.J. McCarthy and NYG host WAS on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

WAS allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 258 yards and 2.1 touchdowns a game against WAS, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Geno Smith and NYJ host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 19.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 2.1 touchdowns a game against BUF, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, J.J. McCarthy has the softer matchup.

Injury status

J.J. McCarthy is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, J.J. McCarthy played 49 percent of NYG snaps, dropped back 75 times and threw an average of 11.5 air yards per attempt.

J.J. McCarthy, Week 5 against WAS: 5 of 89 snaps, 0 of 0 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

J.J. McCarthy, Week 6 against NO: 31 of 77 snaps, 11 of 17 passes for 243 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 26 yards.

J.J. McCarthy, Week 7 against HOU: 61 of 66 snaps, 20 of 27 passes for 252 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

J.J. McCarthy, Week 9 against PHI: 51 of 67 snaps, 12 of 19 passes for 127 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 23 yards.

Through Week 9, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 310 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 6 against NE: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 7 against MIA: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 8 against LV: 64 of 64 snaps, 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 9 against KC: 63 of 63 snaps, 18 of 32 passes for 165 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, J.J. McCarthy played 10 games for MIN and scored 137.4 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB30.

He completed 140 of 243 passes for 1632 yards, 11 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 37 times for 181 yards and 4 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 94 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Geno Smith for J.J. McCarthy?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. J.J. McCarthy projects 121 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 8 games), Geno Smith 104 (14.8 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts J.J. McCarthy over Geno Smith, 16.0 to 15.5 projected PPR points. J.J. McCarthy is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop J.J. McCarthy for Geno Smith?

    No. Keep J.J. McCarthy: he projects 121 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 8 games), Geno Smith 104 (14.8 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts J.J. McCarthy over Geno Smith, 16.0 to 15.5 projected PPR points. J.J. McCarthy is listed questionable.

Should I drop J.J. McCarthy?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board