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Start Malik Willis or Geno Smith? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Start Malik Willis over Geno Smith

Start

Malik Willis

QB · MIA · vs DET

Market projects
14.1
recent weeks avg
DET D vs QB
26.3
most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Sit

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · at KC

Market projects
13.7
recent weeks avg
KC D vs QB
13.0
3rd fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Geno Smith for Malik Willis?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Malik Willis projects 131 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 9 games), Geno Smith 122 (15.3 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Malik Willis over Geno Smith.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Malik Willis over Geno Smith in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Malik Willis at 14.1 points and Geno Smith at 13.7, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Malik Willis this week yet, so his 14.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (14.1 and 14.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Geno Smith this week yet, so his 13.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (10.6, 15.0 and 15.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Malik Willis yet. His market-based projections were 14.1 and 14.1 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 14.1, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Malik Willis is 0.3 touchdowns (5 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Geno Smith yet. His market-based projections were 10.6, 15.0 and 15.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 13.7, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Malik Willis 0.3 points ahead of Geno Smith on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Malik Willis and MIA host DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DET allowed 26.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 312 yards and 2.7 touchdowns a game against DET, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Geno Smith and NYJ visit KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 13.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 230 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against KC, with an interception a game.

By points allowed to the position, Malik Willis has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Malik Willis is not on the injury report.

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Malik Willis played 100 percent of MIA snaps, dropped back 225 times and threw an average of 9.4 air yards per attempt.

Malik Willis, Week 4 against MIN: 39 of 39 snaps, 9 of 17 passes for 85 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 5 against CIN: 66 of 66 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 137 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 8 carries for 74 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 7 against NYJ: 65 of 65 snaps, 14 of 21 passes for 208 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 39 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 8 against NE: 21 of 32 passes for 211 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Through Week 8, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 272 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 5 against CLE: 70 of 70 snaps, 17 of 30 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 9 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 6 against NE: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 7 against MIA: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 8 against LV: 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Malik Willis played 4 games for GB and scored 51.2 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing QB45.

He completed 30 of 35 passes for 422 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 22 times for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Geno Smith for Malik Willis?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Malik Willis projects 131 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 9 games), Geno Smith 122 (15.3 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Malik Willis over Geno Smith.

  • Should I drop Malik Willis for Geno Smith?

    No. Keep Malik Willis: he projects 131 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 9 games), Geno Smith 122 (15.3 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Malik Willis over Geno Smith.

Should I drop Geno Smith?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board