Start Geno Smith or Tanner McKee? Week 7

Updated Oct 22, 5:41 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Geno Smith over Tanner McKee

Start

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects: 15.1; fantasy pts
MIA D vs QB: 19.4; 8th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 46 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Tanner McKee

QB · PHI · vs DAL

Market projects: 14.5; fantasy pts
DAL D vs QB: 21.4; 5th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 89 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Tanner McKee for Geno Smith?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Geno Smith projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 10 games), Tanner McKee 138 (13.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Geno Smith over Tanner McKee, 15.1 to 14.5 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Geno Smith over Tanner McKee in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Geno Smith at 15.1 points and Tanner McKee at 14.5, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.1 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Geno Smith is 223 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 7 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (8, 11, 9 and 10 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.5 fantasy points for Tanner McKee, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tanner McKee is 214 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 8 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (11, 12, 5 and 11 market sources).

That puts Geno Smith 0.6 points ahead of Tanner McKee on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Geno Smith and NYJ host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 8th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 226 yards and 2.2 touchdowns a game against MIA, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Tanner McKee and PHI host DAL on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

DAL allowed 21.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 239 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against DAL, with 0.2 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Tanner McKee has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Tanner McKee is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 204 times and threw an average of 7.1 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 3 against DET: 66 of 66 snaps, 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Geno Smith, Week 5 against CLE: 70 of 70 snaps, 17 of 30 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 9 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 6 against NE: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Through Week 6, Tanner McKee played 100 percent of PHI snaps, dropped back 48 times and threw an average of 8.0 air yards per attempt.

Tanner McKee, Week 6 against CAR: 64 of 64 snaps, 26 of 45 passes for 215 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tanner McKee played 4 games for PHI and scored 14.8 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing QB55.

He completed 24 of 43 passes for 274 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, and ran 8 times for 8 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 3 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tanner McKee, Week 18 of 2025 against WAS: 21 of 40 passes for 241 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 3 yards, 12.9 PPR points.

Tanner McKee, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 4 of 70 snaps, 0 of 0 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for -2 yards, -0.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Tanner McKee for Geno Smith?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Geno Smith projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 10 games), Tanner McKee 138 (13.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Geno Smith over Tanner McKee, 15.1 to 14.5 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Geno Smith for Tanner McKee?
No. Keep Geno Smith: he projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 10 games), Tanner McKee 138 (13.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Geno Smith over Tanner McKee, 15.1 to 14.5 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Tanner McKee?