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Start Marvin Mims Jr. or Jalen Nailor? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 11:36 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Marvin Mims Jr.: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Jalen Nailor over Marvin Mims Jr.

Start

Jalen Nailor

WR · LV · at SF

Market projects
4.7
recent weeks avg
SF D vs WR
29.1
11th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
34 of 100 at WR
Snap share
54%
Through Week 8
Target share
10%
Through Week 8
Sit

Marvin Mims Jr.

WR · DEN · at CAR

Market projects
4.6
fantasy pts
CAR D vs WR
29.8
13th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
28%
Through Week 8
Target share
9%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Marvin Mims Jr. for Jalen Nailor?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jalen Nailor projects 36 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.5 a game over 8 games), Marvin Mims Jr. 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Marvin Mims Jr.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Jalen Nailor over Marvin Mims Jr. in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Jalen Nailor at 4.7 points and Marvin Mims Jr. at 4.6, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Jalen Nailor this week yet, so his 4.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (5.8, 4.0 and 4.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Jalen Nailor yet. His market-based projections were 5.9, 4.0 and 4.3 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 4.7, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

Player markets imply 4.6 fantasy points for Marvin Mims Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Marvin Mims Jr. is 19 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (8, 6 and 7 market sources).

That puts Jalen Nailor 0.1 points ahead of Marvin Mims Jr. on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Jalen Nailor and LV visit SF on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

SF allowed 29.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against SF.

Marvin Mims Jr. and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 144 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CAR.

By points allowed to the position, Marvin Mims Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jalen Nailor is not on the injury report.

Marvin Mims Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Jalen Nailor played 54 percent of LV snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Jalen Nailor, Week 4 against KC: 19 of 84 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 6 against BUF: 42 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 7 against LAR: 51 of 68 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 8 against NYJ: 29 of 63 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 38 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Marvin Mims Jr. played 28 percent of DEN snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 1 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Marvin Mims Jr., Week 7 against ARI: 16 of 61 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 53 yards.

Marvin Mims Jr., Week 8 against KC: 18 of 62 snaps, 2 carries for 19 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jalen Nailor played 17 games for MIN and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 332 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Marvin Mims Jr. played 15 games for DEN and scored 93.0 PPR points, 6.2 a game, finishing WR66.

He caught 37 of 51 targets for 322 yards and 1 touchdown, with 2 red zone targets and 91 air yards.

He was on the field for 35 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Marvin Mims Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards, 3.0 PPR points.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Marvin Mims Jr. for Jalen Nailor?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Jalen Nailor projects 36 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.5 a game over 8 games), Marvin Mims Jr. 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Marvin Mims Jr.

  • Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Marvin Mims Jr.?

    No. Keep Jalen Nailor: he projects 36 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.5 a game over 8 games), Marvin Mims Jr. 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Marvin Mims Jr.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board