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Trade A.J. Brown for Tee Higgins? Close to even, 39 to 45.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value A.J. Brown is 39 and Tee Higgins is 45, a 6 point edge to Higgins that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Brown rates 13.4 market points a game with 9 games left, Higgins 13.6 with 10. On usage, Brown has drawn 22 percent of NE targets; Higgins has drawn 23 percent of CIN targets. Brown is at MIA in Week 8 (3rd fewest points allowed to WRs); Higgins hosts TEN in Week 8 (8th most points allowed to WRs). A.J. Brown is listed Questionable (ankle).

The verdict, Week 8

Close to even.

A.J. Brown 3945 Tee Higgins

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A.J. Brown

WR19NEQuestionable

39

value, #40

Pts/game
13.4
Games left
9
Bye
11
A.J. Brown weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
no projectionno projectionno projection3.315.513.4

Tee Higgins

WR17CIN

45

value, #35

Pts/game
13.6
Games left
10
Bye
6
Tee Higgins weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
12.313.64.1no projection13.915.0

Where the values come from

Brown is the 19th receiver on the chart and 40th overall. His 13.4 a game is 4.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 39.

Higgins is the 17th receiver on the chart and 35th overall. His 13.6 a game is 4.5 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 45.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had A.J. Brown at 3.3 in Week 6, 15.5 in Week 7 and 13.4 in Week 8, a median of 13.4 points a game, up 10.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Tee Higgins at 12.3 in Week 3, 13.6 in Week 4, 4.1 in Week 5, 13.9 in Week 7 and 15.0 in Week 8, a median of 13.6 points a game, up 2.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

A.J. Brown has scored 19.1 PPR points in 3 games, 6.4 a game, 7.0 a game less than the 13.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR11 with 220.3 PPR points in 15 games with PHI, 14.7 a game.

Week 1 vs SEA: 5.6 points (WR66 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards, 44 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs NYJ: 5.7 points (WR59 that week), 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs CHI: 7.8 points (WR35 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 48 yards, 91 percent of snaps.

Tee Higgins has scored 102.1 PPR points in 6 games, 17.0 a game, 3.4 a game more than the 13.6 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR15 with 211.6 PPR points in 15 games, 14.1 a game.

Week 1 vs TB: 8.9 points (WR42 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 59 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs HOU: 14.5 points (WR19 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 95 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PIT: 21.0 points (WR8 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 90 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs JAX: 26.7 points (WR6 that week), 11 of 16 targets for 157 yards, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs MIA: 4.2 points (WR72 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 22 yards, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs BAL: 26.8 points (WR3 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 148 yards, 1 touchdown, 87 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown has averaged 6.7 targets and 3.0 catches for 34 yards a game on 68 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 15 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 3 games.

In Week 7 against CHI he had 6 targets on 91 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Tee Higgins has averaged 8.3 targets and 5-6 catches for 95 yards a game on 78 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 5 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 7 against BAL he had 7 targets on 87 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. A.J. Brown has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Tee Higgins has 10 games with no bye left.

MIA, Brown's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 23.8 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest to WRs of 32.

TEN, Higgins's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 35.8 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 8th most to WRs of 32.

Other trades for A.J. Brown and Tee Higgins

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade A.J. Brown for Tee Higgins?

    It is close to even: A.J. Brown is 39 and Tee Higgins is 45 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, A.J. Brown or Tee Higgins?

    Tee Higgins, 45 to 39. He rates 13.6 market points a game over 10 games left, against 13.4 over 9 for A.J. Brown, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 11:31 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number