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Trade George Pickens for Justin Jefferson? Yes, Jefferson is worth 17 more.

Yes on value. Justin Jefferson is worth 63 rest of season and George Pickens 46, so the side getting Jefferson gains 17. Pickens rates 14.2 market points a game with 9 games left, Jefferson 15.4 with 10. On usage, Pickens has drawn 22 percent of DAL targets; Jefferson has drawn 26 percent of MIN targets. Pickens hosts ARI in Week 8 (12th most points allowed to WRs); Jefferson is at DET in Week 8 (3rd most points allowed to WRs). George Pickens is listed Questionable (shoulder).

The verdict, Week 8

Getting Justin Jefferson wins by 17.

George Pickens 4663 Justin Jefferson

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George Pickens

WR15DALQuestionable

46

value, #33

Pts/game
14.2
Games left
9
Bye
14
George Pickens weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
14.013.914.814.313.814.8

Justin Jefferson

WR8MIN

63

value, #24

Pts/game
15.4
Games left
10
Bye
6
Justin Jefferson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.43.22.8no projection15.615.8

Where the values come from

Pickens is the 15th receiver on the chart and 33rd overall. His 14.2 a game is 5.1 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 46.

Jefferson is the 8th receiver on the chart and 24th overall. His 15.4 a game is 6.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 63.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had George Pickens at 14.0 in Week 3, 13.9 in Week 4, 14.8 in Week 5, 14.3 in Week 6, 13.9 in Week 7 and 14.8 in Week 8, a median of 14.2 points a game, up 0.8 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Justin Jefferson at 15.4 in Week 3, 3.2 in Week 4, 2.8 in Week 5, 15.6 in Week 7 and 15.8 in Week 8, a median of 15.4 points a game, flat across them.

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Points so far against the price

George Pickens has scored 97.5 PPR points in 7 games, 13.9 a game, level with the 14.2 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR5 with 291.9 PPR points in 17 games, 17.2 a game.

Week 1 vs NYG: 5.8 points (WR63 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 28 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs WAS: 10.0 points (WR34 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 40 yards, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs BAL: 15.2 points (WR23 that week), 7 of 11 targets for 82 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs HOU: 9.5 points (WR45 that week), 2 of 3 targets for 75 yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TB: 28.0 points (WR5 that week), 9 of 13 targets for 130 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs GB: 13.3 points (WR27 that week), 6 of 11 targets for 73 yards, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs PHI: 15.7 points (WR18 that week), 4 of 6 targets for 57 yards, 1 touchdown, 60 percent of snaps.

Justin Jefferson has scored 72.1 PPR points in 5 games, 14.4 a game, 1.0 a game less than the 15.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR21 with 201.5 PPR points in 17 games, 11.9 a game.

Week 1 vs GB: 31.2 points (WR3 that week), 8 of 9 targets for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns, 92 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CHI: 8.5 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TB: 5.2 points (WR73 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards, 12 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs NO: 18.8 points (WR14 that week), -11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards, 1 touchdown, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs IND: 8.4 points (WR32 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 44 yards, 93 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, George Pickens has averaged 8.3 targets and 5.3 catches for 69 yards a game on 82 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 7 games.

In Week 7 against PHI he had 6 targets on 60 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Justin Jefferson has averaged 6.2 targets and 4.6 catches for 60 yards a game on 77 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 16 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 7 against IND he had 7 targets on 93 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. George Pickens has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 14; Justin Jefferson has 10 games with no bye left.

ARI, Pickens's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 33.6 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 12th most to WRs of 32.

DET, Jefferson's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 39.2 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting George Pickens would want about 17 more added to make it even: a player like Drake Maye, valued at 17. Two players for Jefferson also costs that side a roster spot.

Drake Maye's player page

Other trades for George Pickens and Justin Jefferson

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade George Pickens for Justin Jefferson?

    Yes on value: Justin Jefferson is worth 63 and George Pickens 46, a gain of 17. If George Pickens starts for you and Justin Jefferson would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, George Pickens or Justin Jefferson?

    Justin Jefferson, 63 to 46. He rates 15.4 market points a game over 10 games left, against 14.2 over 9 for George Pickens, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number