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Trade James Cook III for Justin Jefferson? No, Cook is worth 16 more.

No on value. James Cook III is worth 79 rest of season and Justin Jefferson 63, so giving up Cook costs 16. Cook rates 16.2 market points a game with 10 games left, Jefferson 15.4 with 10. On usage, Cook has 70 percent of BUF carries and 9 percent of its targets; Jefferson has drawn 26 percent of MIN targets. Cook hosts BAL in Week 8 (5th fewest points allowed to RBs); Jefferson is at DET in Week 8 (3rd most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 8

Keeping James Cook III wins by 16.

James Cook III 7963 Justin Jefferson

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James Cook III

RB6BUF

79

value, #11

Pts/game
16.2
Games left
10
Bye
7
James Cook III weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
16.215.814.417.0no projection16.7

Justin Jefferson

WR8MIN

63

value, #24

Pts/game
15.4
Games left
10
Bye
6
Justin Jefferson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.43.22.8no projection15.615.8

Where the values come from

Cook is the 6th running back on the chart and 11th overall. His 16.2 a game is 7.9 above the replacement running back's 8.3, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 79.

Jefferson is the 8th receiver on the chart and 24th overall. His 15.4 a game is 6.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 63.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had James Cook III at 16.2 in Week 3, 15.8 in Week 4, 14.4 in Week 5, 17.0 in Week 6 and 16.7 in Week 8, a median of 16.2 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Justin Jefferson at 15.4 in Week 3, 3.2 in Week 4, 2.8 in Week 5, 15.6 in Week 7 and 15.8 in Week 8, a median of 15.4 points a game, flat across them.

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Points so far against the price

James Cook III has scored 113.6 PPR points in 6 games, 18.9 a game, 2.7 a game more than the 16.2 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB6 with 302.2 PPR points in 17 games, 17.8 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 9.9 points (RB27 that week), 57 rushing yards on 13 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 12 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: 20.9 points (RB5 that week), 135 rushing yards on 21 carries, 1 of 3 targets for 4 yards, 1 touchdown, 74 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 19.4 points (RB9 that week), 154 rushing yards on 24 carries, 0 of 1 target for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 67 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 16.3 points (RB19 that week), 75 rushing yards on 12 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards, 1 touchdown, 59 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAR: 22.8 points (RB4 that week), 111 rushing yards on 25 carries, 1 of 1 target for 7 yards, 2 touchdowns, 63 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LV: 24.3 points (RB4 that week), 95 rushing yards on 22 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 58 yards, 1 touchdown, 66 percent of snaps.

Justin Jefferson has scored 72.1 PPR points in 5 games, 14.4 a game, 1.0 a game less than the 15.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR21 with 201.5 PPR points in 17 games, 11.9 a game.

Week 1 vs GB: 31.2 points (WR3 that week), 8 of 9 targets for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns, 92 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CHI: 8.5 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TB: 5.2 points (WR73 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards, 12 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs NO: 18.8 points (WR14 that week), -11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards, 1 touchdown, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs IND: 8.4 points (WR32 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 44 yards, 93 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, James Cook III has averaged 19-20 carries for 105 yards and 2.3 targets and 1.7 catches for 15 yards a game on 67 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 24 times inside the 20, 39 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against LV he had 22 carries and 3 targets on 66 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Justin Jefferson has averaged 6.2 targets and 4.6 catches for 60 yards a game on 77 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 16 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 7 against IND he had 7 targets on 93 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. James Cook III has 10 games in it with no bye left; Justin Jefferson has 10 games with no bye left.

BAL, Cook's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 18.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 5th fewest to RBs of 32.

DET, Jefferson's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 39.2 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Justin Jefferson would want about 16 more added to make it even: a player like Caleb Williams, valued at 16. Two players for Cook also costs that side a roster spot.

Caleb Williams's player page

Other trades for James Cook III and Justin Jefferson

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade James Cook III for Justin Jefferson?

    No on value: James Cook III is worth 79 and Justin Jefferson 63, a loss of 16. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Cook.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, James Cook III or Justin Jefferson?

    James Cook III, 79 to 63. He rates 16.2 market points a game over 10 games left, against 15.4 over 10 for Justin Jefferson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number