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Trade Jaylen Warren for Justin Jefferson? No, Warren is worth 12 more.

No on value. Jaylen Warren is worth 75 rest of season and Justin Jefferson 63, so giving up Warren costs 12. Warren rates 16.6 market points a game with 9 games left, Jefferson 15.4 with 10. On usage, Warren has 68 percent of PIT carries and 14 percent of its targets; Jefferson has drawn 26 percent of MIN targets. Warren hosts CLE in Week 8 (8th fewest points allowed to RBs); Jefferson is at DET in Week 8 (3rd most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 8

Keeping Jaylen Warren wins by 12.

Jaylen Warren 7563 Justin Jefferson

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Jaylen Warren

RB8PIT

75

value, #13

Pts/game
16.6
Games left
9
Bye
9
Jaylen Warren weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
12.217.717.216.217.115.8

Justin Jefferson

WR8MIN

63

value, #24

Pts/game
15.4
Games left
10
Bye
6
Justin Jefferson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.43.22.8no projection15.615.8

Where the values come from

Warren is the 8th running back on the chart and 13th overall. His 16.6 a game is 8.3 above the replacement running back's 8.3, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 9, which is how he comes to 75.

Jefferson is the 8th receiver on the chart and 24th overall. His 15.4 a game is 6.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 63.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Jaylen Warren at 12.2 in Week 3, 17.7 in Week 4, 17.2 in Week 5, 16.2 in Week 6, 17.1 in Week 7 and 15.8 in Week 8, a median of 16.6 points a game, up 3.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Justin Jefferson at 15.4 in Week 3, 3.2 in Week 4, 2.8 in Week 5, 15.6 in Week 7 and 15.8 in Week 8, a median of 15.4 points a game, flat across them.

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Points so far against the price

Jaylen Warren has scored 119.5 PPR points in 7 games, 17.1 a game, level with the 16.6 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB17 with 217.1 PPR points in 16 games, 13.6 a game.

Week 1 vs ATL: 10.3 points (RB25 that week), 46 rushing yards on 10 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 27 yards, 37 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NE: 9.7 points (RB26 that week), 43 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 4 targets for 34 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CIN: 20.6 points (RB8 that week), 127 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 49 yards, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs CLE: 15.6 points (RB22 that week), 93 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 6 targets for 33 yards, 97 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs IND: 36.8 points (RB2 that week), 101 rushing yards on 15 carries, 6 of 6 targets for 87 yards, 2 touchdowns, 87 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs TB: 9.8 points (RB23 that week), 50 rushing yards on 14 carries, 2 of 4 targets for 28 yards, 75 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs NO: 16.7 points (RB19 that week), 101 rushing yards on 18 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 36 yards, 63 percent of snaps.

Justin Jefferson has scored 72.1 PPR points in 5 games, 14.4 a game, 1.0 a game less than the 15.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR21 with 201.5 PPR points in 17 games, 11.9 a game.

Week 1 vs GB: 31.2 points (WR3 that week), 8 of 9 targets for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns, 92 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CHI: 8.5 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TB: 5.2 points (WR73 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards, 12 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs NO: 18.8 points (WR14 that week), -11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards, 1 touchdown, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs IND: 8.4 points (WR32 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 44 yards, 93 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Jaylen Warren has averaged 14.6 carries for 80 yards and 4.9 targets and 3.4 catches for 42 yards a game on 74 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 11 times inside the 20, 24 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 7 games.

In Week 7 against NO he had 18 carries and 4 targets on 63 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Justin Jefferson has averaged 6.2 targets and 4.6 catches for 60 yards a game on 77 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 16 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 7 against IND he had 7 targets on 93 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Jaylen Warren has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 9; Justin Jefferson has 10 games with no bye left.

CLE, Warren's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 19.4 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest to RBs of 32.

DET, Jefferson's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 39.2 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Justin Jefferson would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Denzel Boston, valued at 13. Two players for Warren also costs that side a roster spot.

Denzel Boston's player page

Other trades for Jaylen Warren and Justin Jefferson

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Jaylen Warren for Justin Jefferson?

    No on value: Jaylen Warren is worth 75 and Justin Jefferson 63, a loss of 12. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Warren.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Jaylen Warren or Justin Jefferson?

    Jaylen Warren, 75 to 63. He rates 16.6 market points a game over 9 games left, against 15.4 over 10 for Justin Jefferson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number