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Trade CeeDee Lamb for Justin Jefferson? No, Lamb is worth 22 more.

No on value. CeeDee Lamb is worth 85 rest of season and Justin Jefferson 63, so giving up Lamb costs 22. Lamb rates 18.5 market points a game with 9 games left, Jefferson 15.4 with 10. On usage, Lamb has drawn 30 percent of DAL targets; Jefferson has drawn 26 percent of MIN targets. Lamb hosts ARI in Week 8 (12th most points allowed to WRs); Jefferson is at DET in Week 8 (3rd most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 8

Keeping CeeDee Lamb wins by 22.

CeeDee Lamb 8563 Justin Jefferson

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CeeDee Lamb

WR5DAL

85

value, #10

Pts/game
18.5
Games left
9
Bye
14
CeeDee Lamb weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
18.216.419.217.918.819.5

Justin Jefferson

WR8MIN

63

value, #24

Pts/game
15.4
Games left
10
Bye
6
Justin Jefferson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.43.22.8no projection15.615.8

Where the values come from

Lamb is the 5th receiver on the chart and 10th overall. His 18.5 a game is 9.4 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 85.

Jefferson is the 8th receiver on the chart and 24th overall. His 15.4 a game is 6.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 63.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had CeeDee Lamb at 18.2 in Week 3, 16.5 in Week 4, 19.2 in Week 5, 17.9 in Week 6, 18.8 in Week 7 and 19.5 in Week 8, a median of 18.5 points a game, up 1.3 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Justin Jefferson at 15.4 in Week 3, 3.2 in Week 4, 2.8 in Week 5, 15.6 in Week 7 and 15.8 in Week 8, a median of 15.4 points a game, flat across them.

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Points so far against the price

CeeDee Lamb has scored 155.5 PPR points in 7 games, 22.2 a game, 3.7 a game more than the 18.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR22 with 200.9 PPR points in 14 games, 14.4 a game.

Week 1 vs NYG: 15.4 points (WR20 that week), 0 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 8 targets for 44 yards, 1 touchdown, 81 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs WAS: 35.3 points (WR3 that week), 8 of 9 targets for 153 yards, 2 touchdowns, 75 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs BAL: 20.2 points (WR11 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 112 yards, 82 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs HOU: 41.3 points (WR2 that week), -6 rushing yards on 1 carry, 17 of 21 targets for 189 yards, 1 touchdown, 86 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TB: 2.9 points (WR86 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 9 yards, 57 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs GB: 16.0 points (WR18 that week), 9 of 18 targets for 70 yards, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs PHI: 24.4 points (WR5 that week), 5 of 12 targets for 74 yards, 2 touchdowns, 81 percent of snaps.

Justin Jefferson has scored 72.1 PPR points in 5 games, 14.4 a game, 1.0 a game less than the 15.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR21 with 201.5 PPR points in 17 games, 11.9 a game.

Week 1 vs GB: 31.2 points (WR3 that week), 8 of 9 targets for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns, 92 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CHI: 8.5 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TB: 5.2 points (WR73 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards, 12 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs NO: 18.8 points (WR14 that week), -11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards, 1 touchdown, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs IND: 8.4 points (WR32 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 44 yards, 93 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, CeeDee Lamb has averaged 11.6 targets and 7.6 catches for 93 yards a game on 79 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 14 times inside the 20, 16 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 7 games.

In Week 7 against PHI he had 12 targets on 81 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Justin Jefferson has averaged 6.2 targets and 4.6 catches for 60 yards a game on 77 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 16 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 7 against IND he had 7 targets on 93 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. CeeDee Lamb has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 14; Justin Jefferson has 10 games with no bye left.

ARI, Lamb's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 33.6 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 12th most to WRs of 32.

DET, Jefferson's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 39.2 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Justin Jefferson would want about 22 more added to make it even: a player like Josh Downs, valued at 22. Two players for Lamb also costs that side a roster spot.

Josh Downs's player page

Other trades for CeeDee Lamb and Justin Jefferson

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade CeeDee Lamb for Justin Jefferson?

    No on value: CeeDee Lamb is worth 85 and Justin Jefferson 63, a loss of 22. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Lamb.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, CeeDee Lamb or Justin Jefferson?

    CeeDee Lamb, 85 to 63. He rates 18.5 market points a game over 9 games left, against 15.4 over 10 for Justin Jefferson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number