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Trade Justin Jefferson for Kyren Williams? Yes, Williams is worth 14 more.

Yes on value. Kyren Williams is worth 77 rest of season and Justin Jefferson 63, so the side getting Williams gains 14. Jefferson rates 15.4 market points a game with 10 games left, Williams 16.8 with 9. On usage, Jefferson has drawn 26 percent of MIN targets; Williams has 54 percent of LAR carries and 15 percent of its targets. Jefferson is at DET in Week 8 (3rd most points allowed to WRs); Williams hosts LAC in Week 8 (9th most points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 8

Getting Kyren Williams wins by 14.

Justin Jefferson 6377 Kyren Williams

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Justin Jefferson

WR8MIN

63

value, #24

Pts/game
15.4
Games left
10
Bye
6
Justin Jefferson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.43.22.8no projection15.615.8

Kyren Williams

RB7LAR

77

value, #12

Pts/game
16.8
Games left
9
Bye
11
Kyren Williams weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
13.314.317.417.917.016.7

Where the values come from

Jefferson is the 8th receiver on the chart and 24th overall. His 15.4 a game is 6.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 63.

Williams is the 7th running back on the chart and 12th overall. His 16.8 a game is 8.5 above the replacement running back's 8.3, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 77.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Justin Jefferson at 15.4 in Week 3, 3.2 in Week 4, 2.8 in Week 5, 15.6 in Week 7 and 15.8 in Week 8, a median of 15.4 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Kyren Williams at 13.3 in Week 3, 14.3 in Week 4, 17.4 in Week 5, 17.9 in Week 6, 17.0 in Week 7 and 16.7 in Week 8, a median of 16.8 points a game, up 3.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Justin Jefferson has scored 72.1 PPR points in 5 games, 14.4 a game, 1.0 a game less than the 15.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR21 with 201.5 PPR points in 17 games, 11.9 a game.

Week 1 vs GB: 31.2 points (WR3 that week), 8 of 9 targets for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns, 92 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CHI: 8.5 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TB: 5.2 points (WR73 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards, 12 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs NO: 18.8 points (WR14 that week), -11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards, 1 touchdown, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs IND: 8.4 points (WR32 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 44 yards, 93 percent of snaps.

Kyren Williams has scored 137.1 PPR points in 7 games, 19.6 a game, 2.8 a game more than the 16.8 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB9 with 263.3 PPR points in 17 games, 15.5 a game.

Week 1 vs SF: 15.5 points (RB15 that week), 41 rushing yards on 11 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 24 yards, 1 touchdown, 64 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYG: 15.7 points (RB8 that week), 85 rushing yards on 12 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 12 yards, 1 touchdown, 55 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DEN: 21.8 points (RB5 that week), 88 rushing yards on 15 carries, 6 of 7 targets for 70 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs PHI: 36.7 points (RB1 that week), 80 rushing yards on 16 carries, 10 of 13 targets for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs BUF: 19.6 points (RB6 that week), 49 rushing yards on 16 carries, 6 of 8 targets for 27 yards, 1 touchdown, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs ARI: 9.7 points (RB24 that week), 50 rushing yards on 10 carries, 3 of 6 targets for 17 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs LV: 18.1 points (RB14 that week), 99 rushing yards on 16 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 22 yards, 1 touchdown, 51 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Justin Jefferson has averaged 6.2 targets and 4.6 catches for 60 yards a game on 77 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 16 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 7 against IND he had 7 targets on 93 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Kyren Williams has averaged 13.7 carries for 70 yards and 5.9 targets and 4.6 catches for 34 yards a game on 68 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 25 times inside the 20, 34 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 7 games.

In Week 7 against LV he had 16 carries and 2 targets on 51 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Justin Jefferson has 10 games in it with no bye left; Kyren Williams has 9 games with his bye in Week 11.

DET, Jefferson's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 39.2 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most to WRs of 32.

LAC, Williams's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 23.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 9th most to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Justin Jefferson would want about 14 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 14. Two players for Williams also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

Other trades for Justin Jefferson and Kyren Williams

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Justin Jefferson for Kyren Williams?

    Yes on value: Kyren Williams is worth 77 and Justin Jefferson 63, a gain of 14. If Justin Jefferson starts for you and Kyren Williams would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Justin Jefferson or Kyren Williams?

    Kyren Williams, 77 to 63. He rates 16.8 market points a game over 9 games left, against 15.4 over 10 for Justin Jefferson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number