Start Trevor Lawrence or Bo Nix? Week 9

Our Week 9 call

Start Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Trevor Lawrence at 17.1 points and Bo Nix at 15.6, a gap of 1.5. No player market is posted for Bo Nix this week yet, so his 15.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (14.9, 16.3 and 15.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Trevor Lawrence at ADP 97 and Bo Nix at 116.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Trevor Lawrence is 237 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 12 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (12, 14, 9 and 11 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Bo Nix yet. His market-based projections were 14.9, 16.3 and 15.7 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 15.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Trevor Lawrence 1.5 points ahead of Bo Nix on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Trevor Lawrence and JAX visit BAL on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

BAL allowed 17.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 16th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 235 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against BAL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Bo Nix and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 16.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 208 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Trevor Lawrence played 97 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 219 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 5 against PHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 6 against HOU: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 8 against IND: 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Through Week 8, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 268 times and threw an average of 5.4 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 7 against ARI: 61 of 61 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 75 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 8 against KC: 20 of 32 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

• Start Trevor Lawrence over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Bryce Young.
• Start Caleb Williams over Trevor Lawrence.
• Start Bo Nix over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Bo Nix over Bryce Young.
• Start Bo Nix over Daniel Jones.